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USA vs France Best Bets: 4 Expert Picks for Men’s Olympics Basketball Gold Medal Game

USA vs France Best Bets: 4 Expert Picks for Men’s Olympics Basketball Gold Medal Game article feature image
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Kevin Durant #7 of Team United States celebrates during a Men’s basketball semifinals match between Team United States and Team Serbia on day thirteen of the Olympic Games Paris 2024 at Bercy Arena on August 08, 2024 in Paris, France. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images)

It all comes down to this moment. The Men's Olympics basketball gold medal game is here — and so are our USA vs France best bets for Saturday's epic showdown.

The men's Olympics basketball tournament wraps up today, as first, Nikola Jokic and Serbia claimed bronze against Germany. Now, the men of the hour take center stage at 3:30 p.m. ET with Kevin Durant, LeBron James, and the rest of Team USA going for the gold against young star Victor Wembanyama and France. The task is tall for USA as they have a point to prove in France's home, and we're sure this matchup will be a thrill ride.

Our basketball experts have 4 picks for today's men's Olympics basketball gold medal game, plus our in-depth pick against the spread for Team USA vs France. So let's get to the USA vs France gold medal game best bets!

USA vs France Best Bets: Men's Olympics Basketball Gold Medal Game Picks

Our expert USA vs France gold medal game pick against the spread is on Team USA to cover, via basketball betting expert Joe Dellera: "Team USA has too much talent, and after this close call against Serbia, I expect them to come out locked in and firing to ensure the gold medal."

For more analysis on why our USA vs France best bet is on Team USA to cover, head over to our USA vs France Prediction for the Men's Olympics Gold Medal Game,

And now, let's get to the rest of our USA vs France best bets below.

Time (ET)Men's Olympics Basketball Gold Medal Game Best Bets
3:30 p.m.
3:30 p.m.
3:30 p.m.
3:30 p.m.

USA vs France Odds for Men's Olympics Basketball Gold Medal Game

Team USA is currently either -16 or -16.5 against France in the gold medal final, depending on the sportsbook, with the United States a -1650 favorite to win outright. France is +950 to pull off the upset and win gold in Paris. The over/under is currently set at 174 total points scored by both teams combined.

Team USA vs France Picks, Predictions

Bryan Fonseca's Men's Olympics Basketball USA vs. France Best Bet #1: Kevin Durant Over 13.5 Points

By Bryan Fonseca

Kevin Durant might be at 14.5 by the time you read this, and I'd be content with that.

He's been under for three straight, but Serbia went the way it went and Durant wasn't really needed for Puerto Rico or Brazil.

Here, France should offer KD's pull up jumper, and they're going to need his ability to shoot over the top of Victor Wembanyama, Mathias Lessort, Guershon Yabusele, and potentially Rudy Gobert if he's freed to play in this one — and he probably should be, given the size.

I prefer this at 13.5, of course, but I'm OK at 14.5, I just wouldn't push beyond that.

USA vs France Pick: Kevin Durant Over 13.5 Points


Joe Dellera's Men's Olympics Basketball USA vs. France Best Bet #1: LeBron James Over 31.5 PRA (-110)

By Joe Dellera

LeBron James will lead Team USA to the Gold Medal against France.

LeBron has racked up the most points, rebounds, and assists for the Americans and is coming off a triple double while playing 32 minutes against Serbia. With the chance to further cement his legacy, I expect to see extended run against France.

LeBron has played 20+ minutes in just three of the five Olympic Games and has exceeded 31.5 PRA in two of those games. France has changed their rotation and seemingly excised Rudy Gobert from meaningful minutes, while this optimizes Wemby defensively, it also opens up the floor for LeBron.

I expect the King to get into the teeth of the French defense as the engine to Team USA’s offense. I’ll grab over 31.5 PRA.

Pick: LeBron James Over 31.5 PRA (-110, DraftKings)


Bryan Fonseca's Men's Olympics Basketball USA vs. France Best Bet #2: Evan Fournier Over 1.5 Threes

By Bryan Fonseca

Juiced but this has to hit for France to have any shot. And it has ladder potential if you're interested.

Fournier is +220 to make three threes, and over 1.5 is safer, that could be something worth eyeing as well. You can take this up to four threes at +600 and five at +1,400.

To me, Fournier is in need of a correction. He's at 35 percent three-point shooting with rounding. He's 9-for-26 in the Olympics. And France will need to jack a lot of threes to compete. They're not great at it — 33 percent on 28.2 attempts per game in the tournament — but they'll have to be, and it starts with Fournier, who leads France in attempts after Victor Wembanyama.

Pick: Evan Fournier Over 1.5 3s (Bet365)


Joe Dellera's Men's Olympics Basketball USA vs. France Best Bet #2: Joel Embiid Over 12.5 Points (-120)

By Joe Dellera

Joel Embiid has destroyed both Gobert and Wemby in his recent games against them. Since Rudy Gobert joined the Wolves, Embiid has tallied 32, 39, and 51 points against him and in the one game against Wemby, Embiid had that legendary 70 point performance. While France can throw some other looks at him with Guerschon Yabusele and Mathias Lessort, Embiid's ability to score in a multitude of fashions will be invaluable. Wemby cannot afford foul trouble here, and I expect Team USA to lean heavily on Joel Embiid to start this game. I'll grab over 12.5 points.

Pick: Joel Embiid Over 12.5 Points (-120)


Previous Men's Olympics Basketball Picks for the Bronze Medal Game

Bryan Fonseca's Germany vs. Serbia Men's Olympics Basketball Pick: Nikola Jokic To Lead Serbia In Points | Leading Scorer

By Bryan Fonseca

Bet 365 has Jokic to lead Serbia at -115.

That's the one I feel better about. But if you think Jokic is going to lead Serbia in scoring, you might as well take a swing on him at +220 for leading in scoring.

Germany is physical but they don't have anyone who can guard Jokic one on one. Maybe they'll double with Mo Wagner and Daniel Theis, plus Johannes Voigtmann, etc, but if Serbia carries over their shooting against Team USA, it could hurt them.

Ultimately, both teams will want to run. I think this leans over, and Jokic will badly want to win a bronze, giving Serbia their first Olympic men's basketball medal in eight years.

Pick: Nikola Jokic To Lead Serbia In Points | Leading Scorer (Bet365)


Joe Dellera's Germany vs. Serbia Men's Olympics Basketball Pick: Andreas Obst Over 1.5 3s (-115)

By Joe Dellera

Obst is a lethal 3 point shooter and although his minutes were cut a bit against Greece, he played 20 meaningful minutes against France. This is a great opportunity against a Serbian team who plays at a blistering Pace.

Serbia has allowed their opponents to shoot an absurd 44.4% (68/153) from deep across 5 games. Their defensive rotations are not crisp and Obst needs the smallest window to get off a dagger 3.

I’ll grab Obst to make at least two 3s and would sprinkle some alts as well 3+ (+240 Bet365) 4+ (+650 Bet365).

Pick: Andreas Obst Over 1.5 3s (-115, ESPN Bet)

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