Men’s Swimming 200M Freestyle Final (2:40 p.m. ET): American Luke Hobson Among Favorites to Medal

Men’s Swimming 200M Freestyle Final (2:40 p.m. ET): American Luke Hobson Among Favorites to Medal article feature image
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NANTERRE, FRANCE – JULY 28: Luke Hobson of Team United States prepares to compete in the Men’s 200m Freestyle Heats on day two of the Olympic Games Paris 2024 at Paris La Defense Arena on July 28, 2024 in Nanterre, France. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images)

The men's 200 meter freestyle final set to take place at 2:40 p.m. ET has one American competing, and he's among the favorites to medal in the event.

Luke Hobson is +120 to medal in his first Olympic event after finishing in the top three in the semifinals for this event. Overall, Hobson has +1200 odds to win it all.

Those long odds are despite Hobson's impressive showing in the 2024 World Championships from earlier this year, where he narrowly missed out on gold with a bronze medal performance.

In fact, the world champion from this event — Hwang Sun-woo from South Korea — did not qualify for the final of this event, seemingly leaving the door open for the 21-year-old Hobson to win his first Olympic medal.

Hobson is tied for third on the leaderboard to finish with gold, behind David Popovici from Romania — who put up the fastest times in the heats and semifinals — at -700, and Duncan Scott from Great Britain at +900, according to odds from DraftKings. Scott had registered the second-best time in the semifinals of this event.

Men's Swimming 200M Final to Win Gold: Luke Hobson Rates Highly

SwimmerOdds
David Popovici (Romania)-700
Duncan Scott (Great Britain)+900
Luke Hobson (United States)+1200
Lukas Martens (Germany)+1200
Matthew Richards (Great Britain)+2500
Danas Rapsys (Lithuania)+3000
Maximillian Giuliani (Australia)+4000
Katsuhiro Matsumoto (Japan)+8000

Odds are according to DraftKings as of Monday afternoon.

Rapsys — clocking in at +3000 odds — beat out Hobson for the silver medal in the February world championships by .21 of a second. Popovici did not compete in this world championships, but did qualify for the final in 2023. There, he finished fourth — behind the aforementioned Sun-woo, Tom Dean from Great Britain (who is not competing) and Matthew Richards, who is 25-1 to win gold on Monday afternoon.

Hobson rates highly to win a medal, however, by virtue of being tied for third on the overall board. He's +120, tied for Lukas Martens from Germany. Hobson beat out Martens in both heats and the semifinal.

Men's Swimming 200M Final: To Win a Medal

SwimmerOdds
David Popovici (Romania)-3500
Duncan Scott (Great Britain)+100
Luke Hobson (United States)+120
Lukas Martens (Germany)+120
Matthew Richards (Great Britain)+200
Danas Rapsys (Lithuania)+300
Maximillian Giuliani (Australia)+350
Katsuhiro Matsumoto (Japan)+700
About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

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