Joe Dellera
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Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 74-87-3 (-3.25u)
Joe Dellera's Picks
Today
Pending
Lakers to qualify for Cup Quarterfinals+160
0.75u
9
6
J.Collins o16.5 Pts-103
UTA
@SAS
1u
11/22 1:00 AM
Collins has been tremendous without Walker Kessler for this Utah Jazz team. He’s starting and has played about 30 minutes per game.
Tonight, the Jazz play the Spurs who will be without Victor Wembanyama to defend the interior and face up opposite Collins. While Collins struggled a bit against Zubac and the Clippers a few games ago, this is a spot her can excel. Without Wemby, the Spurs have allowed big games to the Center position.
Without Kessler, Collins has averaged 20.8 ppg, some of this is skewed by two big games but he still has 16+ in 4/5 without Kessler this season. Collins can be an excellent scoring threat when given the opportunity and this number is just too low against a Spurs team without Wemby.
I’ll back Collins to exceed 16.5 points.
32
6
🌟 Karl-Anthony Towns to be an Eastern Conference All Star+240
1u
I'm expecting a big bump from KAT on the offensive side of the ball as he returns to the Center position. It should dramatically impact his spacing and his shot profile while also seeing a bump in rebounds not playing alongside Gobert.
Couple that with the NY Boost and the comments surrounding Embiid, Paul George, etc regarding their health/health management there are multiple outs for him to get there.
I love that players designated as a replacement will also be graded as winners.
28
16
Jalen Williams to be a Western Conference All Star-110
1u
Aligned with @TurveyBets
15
9
Julius Randle 5+ Assists per game+100
1u
24
12
Jalen Brunson o6.5 Assists per Game-115
1u
37
12
Chris Paul over 6.9 Assists per game-115
1u
20
12
LaMelo Ball over 3.3 3s per Game-130
1u
20
10
Victor Wembanyama o11.5 Rebounds per Game-110
1u
Via @TurveyBets
31
12
Luka Doncic over 9.2 Assists per Game-110
1u
Via @TurveyBets
21
13
Michael Porter Jr over 2.8 3s per Game-115
1u
This is my favorite one
15
12
Michael Porter Jr over 2.8 3s per Game - 24/25 Regular Season-115
1.5u
Relogging, not doubling down.
The Denver Nuggets will be adjusting to life without KCP this season and I expect a boost for MPJ.
MPJ has averaged 2.7, 3.0, and 2.8 3s per game in the three healthy seasons he’s played in despite the Nuggets playing at a Bottom 6 Pace in the league in each of those seasons (per NBA Advanced Stats).
There’s reason to believe in a change here with the acquisition of Russell Westbrook along with the injection of Christian Braun or Julian Strawther into the starting lineup instead of KCP. This is a significantly faster and more athletic rotation and Denver will be able to play at an overall faster Pace. Further, those players are not nearly as good as KCP from shooting beyond the arc. MPJ will need to absorb a greater number of 3 point attempts to maintain the team’s spacing. He is a deadeye shooter with a 41.0% mark from behind the arc throughout his career.
Even if we see a decline in efficiency due to an uptick in volume, 2.8 3s per game is too low for MPJ.
I’ll take over 2.8 3s per game.
18
14
Ja Morant Season Assists Leader+13000
0.1u
Discussed on Buckets
18
9
Lamelo Ball Season Assists Leader+4000
0.1u
17
10
JALEN WILLIAMS TO AVERAGE 23+ PPG, JALEN WILLIAMS TO AVERAGE 4+ APG +350
1u
Team Specials on DK
- NO Giddey this year and they replaced him with lower usage guys in Caruso and Hartenstein.
- In 2 games w/o Giddey, Williams averaged 22.5 ppg
- Mins w/ and w/o Giddey last season
- 25.554 points per 100 poss w/ Giddey
- 35.029 w/o Giddey
- About half an assist bump w/o Giddey and averaged 3.5 per game last year
21
13
V. WEMBANYAMA TO AVERAGE 23+ PPG, V. WEMBANYAMA TO AVERAGE 12+ RPG+265
0.5u
15
8
Victor Wembanyama to avg 5+ Blocks per Game+370
0.25u
Under player averages
Averaged 4.455 post ASB last season
19
9
V. WEMBANYAMA TO AVERAGE 25+ PPG, C. PAUL TO AVERAGE 8+ APG, SA SPURS TO WIN 40+ GAMES+800
0.12u
21
8
V. WEMBANYAMA TO LEAD THE LEAGUE IN RPG, SA SPURS TO WIN 35+ GAMES +1500
0.1u
18
11
Luka DONCIC TO AVERAGE 10+ RPG, L. DONCIC TO AVERAGE 10+ APG+1000
0.1u
Luka averaged this post ASB last season
22
11
KAT 22+ ppg +200
0.25u
🎙️ Discussed on Cash That Podcast
11
7
KAT 24+ ppg +500
0.1u
16
8
Michael Porter Jr 20+ ppg+475
0.1u
Discussed on Cash That Podcast
19
9
Andre Drummond Regular Season Rebound Leader+7500
0.1u
With you @TurveyBets
23
11
KAT Regular Season Rebound Leader+5500
0.1u
25
10
LeBron James to average 8+ Rebounds per Game+500
0.25u
18
11
JALEN WILLIAMS TO AVERAGE 20+ PPG, OKC THUNDER TO WIN THE CHAMPIONSHIP (+10000000 DK)
1u
Team Specials on DK
- This is a “free” boost on OKC to win the title in my opinion, he averaged 19.1 last season primarily w/ Giddey and if he DOES NOT average 20+ ppg, it would dramatically affect my opinion of OKC anyway
***- This is how I'm betting OKC to win the title***
24
12
Mike Budenholzer NBA Coach of the Year+1400
0.25u
14
Futures
Golden State Warriors o41.5-110
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Bet on 7/16
13
Boston Celtics u58.5-110
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.5u
45
12
Orlando Magic u47.5-110
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Bet on 7/16 - discussed on Buckets
45
13
Memphis Grizzlies o45.5-115
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
1.5u
Bet on 7/16 - discussed on Buckets
37
15
Keegan Murray+10000
2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player
0.1u
🎙️ Discussed on the Cash That Podcast
Bet on 8/21
61
18
Memphis Grizzlies o49.5+150
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.25u
30
8
Memphis Grizzlies o54.5+600
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.1u
27
8
Mitchell Robinson+30000
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
0.1u
I am ready to get hurt again, and by I, I mean Mitch
33
17
Bennedict Mathurin+2500
2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.5u
Play down to +1500
I like Mathurin's opportunity here as a guy that plays primarily off the bench. He's a microwave scorer and even though he's coming off of injury, he can easily score 17-18 ppg this season. He had better splits post ASG and at home, those are things that tend to regulate as players get more seasoned and watch more tape.
24
13
Payton Pritchard+10000
2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.05u
For Pritchard, he continues to improve and Boston just destroys teams. He could sneakily score even 13 ppg this year and that's assuming perfect health from Boston who is coming off a Championship. It's worth a sprinkle.
19
12
San Antonio Spurs o39.5+200
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.25u
Discussed on Cash That Podcast
20
9
Anthony Davis+4000
2024-25 NBA NBA Cup MVP
0.1u
7
Karl-Anthony Towns+10000
2024-25 NBA NBA Cup MVP
0.1u
9
5
Los Angeles Lakers+260
2024-25 NBA NBA Cup West Group B - To Win
0.25u
16
7
Karl-Anthony Towns+7500
2024-25 NBA NBA Cup MVP
0.1u
Discussed on Buckets 11/18
23
12
Bogdan Bogdanovic+15000
2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.1u
11/18
31
12
Boston Celtics+350
2024-25 NBA NBA Cup East Group C - To Win
0.25u
11/19 https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/cavaliers-vs-celtics-prediction-odds-parlay-pick-for-tuesday-november-19
36
13
Past Performance | |||
---|---|---|---|
Yesterday | 2-3-0 | 40% | 0.53u |
Last 7 Days | 17-19-2 | 45% | -0.81u |
Last 30 Days | 74-87-3 | 45% | -3.25u |
All Time | 3433-4112-125 | 45% | 211.68u |
Top Leagues | |||
---|---|---|---|
NBA | 2446-2992-102 | 44% | 176.58u |
WNBA | 153-156-2 | 49% | 17.44u |
OLYMPIC_BASKETBALL | 50-76-0 | 40% | 17.13u |
MLB | 471-433-11 | 51% | 4.97u |
NCAAB | 56-53-0 | 51% | 1.09u |
UFL | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.10u |
World Cup | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.15u |
ATP | 1-2-0 | 33% | -0.17u |
UFC | 0-2-0 | 0% | -0.40u |
NFL | 211-284-7 | 42% | -0.44u |
NHL | 9-17-0 | 35% | -0.94u |
NASCAR | 2-16-0 | 11% | -0.97u |
Golf | 0-8-0 | 0% | -1.55u |
NCAAF | 16-21-0 | 43% | -1.76u |
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