Joe Dellera

Joe Dellera's Picks

Today
Game Guide: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/lakers-vs-magic-prediction-odds-parlay-pick-for-monday-march-24-qs
31
7
Pending
Buckets Best Bet I was SHOCKED when this line opened last night and for good reason, we now have 8.5 in the market with the under being juiced. The Bucks allow a lot of rebounds but it is mostly to Guards and Wings. A big reason for this is Brook Lopez boxes out like a motherfucker. He doesn’t care about grabbing the board himself, just that YOU can’t get the board either. Richards is only averaging 8.8 Rebounds per game over his last 20 and is under this in 18/30 games. This was really a full board too high.
18
6
Kyle Kuzma let us down last time out but he would have cashed on the PRA front. The Bucks will once again be without Damian Lillard but when he has played these last two with Giannis he’s recorded 30 and 30 PRA. This spot against the Suns is soft for him as they tend to be a weaker matchup for Wings. This is a line he could go over with just points but has been putting together some well rounded efforts for the Bucks. He’s played Phoenix twice this season and in the first game he struggled with his shot but this most recent matchup he racked up 45 PRA with the Wizards. Aligned with @TurveyBets here 🤝
48
14
The Celtics play their second game in as many days and face off against the Sacramento Kings. One player who sat yesterday is Kristaps Porzingis so he would be rested relative to the rest of the roster. It would not shock me to see Al Horford sit and potentially Tatum. Brown is being reevaluated today but Boston has no real reason to push him to return quickly. The Kings could get Sabonis back today but this has been a good matchup for Porzingis regardless. Both Sabonis and Valanciunas anchor him a bit more to the paint on defense which is helpful for grabbing boards and he’s able to stretch them out on offense. Porzingis has averaged 32 PR against Sabonis in their last three matchups and he would see an additional scoring spike if either of Tatum or Brown sit.
5
2
Julius Randle 5+ Assists per game+100
1u
27
14
Jalen Brunson o6.5 Assists per Game-115
1u
41
14
Chris Paul over 6.9 Assists per game-115
1u
24
14
LaMelo Ball over 3.3 3s per Game-130
1u
22
13
Luka Doncic over 9.2 Assists per Game-110
1u
Via @TurveyBets
23
14
Portland Trailblazers to participate in West Play In+5500
0.25u
2/5
29
7
Michael Porter Jr over 2.8 3s per Game - 24/25 Regular Season-115
1.5u
Relogging, not doubling down. The Denver Nuggets will be adjusting to life without KCP this season and I expect a boost for MPJ. MPJ has averaged 2.7, 3.0, and 2.8 3s per game in the three healthy seasons he’s played in despite the Nuggets playing at a Bottom 6 Pace in the league in each of those seasons (per NBA Advanced Stats). There’s reason to believe in a change here with the acquisition of Russell Westbrook along with the injection of Christian Braun or Julian Strawther into the starting lineup instead of KCP. This is a significantly faster and more athletic rotation and Denver will be able to play at an overall faster Pace. Further, those players are not nearly as good as KCP from shooting beyond the arc. MPJ will need to absorb a greater number of 3 point attempts to maintain the team’s spacing. He is a deadeye shooter with a 41.0% mark from behind the arc throughout his career. Even if we see a decline in efficiency due to an uptick in volume, 2.8 3s per game is too low for MPJ. I’ll take over 2.8 3s per game.
20
14
Ja Morant Season Assists Leader+13000
0.1u
Discussed on Buckets
20
8
Lamelo Ball Season Assists Leader+4000
0.1u
21
10
JALEN WILLIAMS TO AVERAGE 23+ PPG, JALEN WILLIAMS TO AVERAGE 4+ APG +350
1u
Team Specials on DK - NO Giddey this year and they replaced him with lower usage guys in Caruso and Hartenstein. - In 2 games w/o Giddey, Williams averaged 22.5 ppg - Mins w/ and w/o Giddey last season - 25.554 points per 100 poss w/ Giddey - 35.029 w/o Giddey - About half an assist bump w/o Giddey and averaged 3.5 per game last year
23
13
Luka DONCIC TO AVERAGE 10+ RPG, L. DONCIC TO AVERAGE 10+ APG+1000
0.1u
Luka averaged this post ASB last season
24
12
KAT 22+ ppg +200
0.25u
🎙️ Discussed on Cash That Podcast
13
8
KAT 24+ ppg +500
0.1u
17
9
Michael Porter Jr 20+ ppg+475
0.1u
Discussed on Cash That Podcast
20
10
Andre Drummond Regular Season Rebound Leader+7500
0.1u
With you @TurveyBets
24
11
KAT Regular Season Rebound Leader+5500
0.1u
26
10
LeBron James to average 8+ Rebounds per Game+500
0.25u
19
12
JALEN WILLIAMS TO AVERAGE 20+ PPG, OKC THUNDER TO WIN THE CHAMPIONSHIP (+10000000 DK)
1u
Team Specials on DK - This is a “free” boost on OKC to win the title in my opinion, he averaged 19.1 last season primarily w/ Giddey and if he DOES NOT average 20+ ppg, it would dramatically affect my opinion of OKC anyway ***- This is how I'm betting OKC to win the title***
25
13
Mike Budenholzer NBA Coach of the Year+1400
0.25u
16
Futures
Golden State Warriors o41.5-110
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Bet on 7/16
14
Boston Celtics u58.5-110
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.5u
46
12
Orlando Magic u47.5-110
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Bet on 7/16 - discussed on Buckets
48
13
Memphis Grizzlies o45.5-115
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
1.5u
Bet on 7/16 - discussed on Buckets
38
15
Keegan Murray+10000
2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player
0.1u
🎙️ Discussed on the Cash That Podcast Bet on 8/21
62
18
Memphis Grizzlies o49.5+150
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.25u
32
8
Memphis Grizzlies o54.5+600
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.1u
28
8
Mitchell Robinson+30000
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
0.1u
I am ready to get hurt again, and by I, I mean Mitch
34
17
Bennedict Mathurin+2500
2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.5u
Play down to +1500 I like Mathurin's opportunity here as a guy that plays primarily off the bench. He's a microwave scorer and even though he's coming off of injury, he can easily score 17-18 ppg this season. He had better splits post ASG and at home, those are things that tend to regulate as players get more seasoned and watch more tape.
26
13
Payton Pritchard+10000
2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.05u
For Pritchard, he continues to improve and Boston just destroys teams. He could sneakily score even 13 ppg this year and that's assuming perfect health from Boston who is coming off a Championship. It's worth a sprinkle.
20
12
San Antonio Spurs o39.5+200
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.25u
Discussed on Cash That Podcast
21
9
Bogdan Bogdanovic+15000
2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.1u
11/18
33
12
Zach Edey+5500
2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year
0.15u
12/14
31
16
Tyrese Maxey+2500
2024-25 NBA Clutch Player of the Year
0.5u
1/15
19
12
Zaccharie Risacher+10000
2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year
0.1u
1/27 - discussed on Buckets, think it’s worth a sprinkle here
48
14
Dalton Knecht+20000
2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year
0.1u
Buckets 2/3
39
11
Malik Beasley+1200
2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.25u
Buckets 2/3
35
8
San Antonio Spurs (Yes)+475
2024-25 NBA To Make The Playoffs
0.25u
Buckets 2/3
83
14
Jalen Williams+7000
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
0.15u
2/20
12
9
Ivica Zubac+7500
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
0.15u
2/20
11
7
Los Angeles Clippers+240
2024-25 NBA Pacific Division - To Win
1u
2/20
26
12
Draymond Green+650
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
0.25u
3/19
11
10
Luguentz Dort+5000
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
0.1u
3/24 - Portfolio Piece - Discussed on Buckets
11
6
Past Performance
Yesterday1-2-033%
-1.22u
Last 7 Days7-22-421%
-9.75u
Last 30 Days63-88-939%
-8.07u
All Time3713-4466-15845%
221.17u
Top Leagues
NBA2721-3336-13544%
181.66u
WNBA153-156-249%
17.44u
OLYMPIC_BASKETBALL50-76-040%
17.13u
NFL214-289-742%
5.56u
MLB471-433-1151%
4.97u
UFL0-1-00%
-0.10u
World Cup0-1-00%
-0.15u
ATP1-2-033%
-0.17u
UFC0-2-00%
-0.40u
NCAAB56-57-050%
-0.66u
NHL9-17-035%
-0.94u
NASCAR2-16-011%
-0.97u
Golf0-8-00%
-1.55u
NCAAF16-21-043%
-1.76u