-Memphis is allowing the 2nd most above the break 3s and highest catch & shoot 3 frequency this season -> Buddy avg 6.2 3PAs above the break and 3.0 catch and shoot 3s on 5.4 catch and shoot 3PAs (56%) -Memphis is allowing the 2nd most points and the most 3s/3pas to bench players -Melton is now OUT -> expect 25+ Minutes from Buddy here -> 16+ Points in 5/L5 Games w/ 22+ Minutes -13+ FGAs in 4/4 Home Games avg 16 FGAs and 17.8 Points

-Jared Goff just threw 5 picks on primetime vs the Texans and has a chance to bounce back against one of the worst passing defenses in the league and I think he will be motivated to do just that -Goff has 222+ Pass Yards in 16/L18 Home Games with 277+ Pass Yards in 7/L9 Games -8/10 QBs have thrown for 222+ Pass Yards vs the Jags, the 2 misses: -Jordan Love 196 Pass Yards (bad weather game) -Deshaun Watson 186 Pass Yards (arguably the worst QB this season) -The Lions are 13.5 favorites so a blowout is definitely expected, but I do think Goff plays a big part in that, he also has 222+ Pass Yards in 14/L17 Home Wins

-Bijan has 28+ Receiving Yards in 4 straight games avg 5.8 targets -Denver is allowing the 5th most RB receiving yards and they have allowed 5 RBs over this number in the last 3 games: Perine 37, Hunt 65, Henry 27, Hill 43, Sanders 38 -Denver is top 5 in man coverage ran this season -> Bijan has been elite vs man with an 83.8 PFF grade, 14.1 YAC per reception and 2.00 Y/RR