C. Otton ⬆️ 3.5 Receptions (+135 @ 365) THE BLITZ 📽️: 3.85 Recs I like this price a lot. Cade is coming off back to back 6 and 7 catch games and gets a very solid matchup this week vs ATL. Here is where Cade ranks in offensive stats for TB: Targets: 3rd Receptions: 3rd Rec Yards: 4th Passing snaps: 1st He's pretty clearly the 3rd option in this passing attack and was last season as well. He is on the field a ton, leading the team in passing snaps, including ahead of Evans and Godwin. He is used to block some, but still runs a route on 86.4% of passing plays. The easiest way to attack ATL's defense is in the middle of the field. Last season they allowed the 4th most receptions to opposing TE's and this season have allowed 12th most so far. Let's look at some more advanced stats and where ATL's defense ranks: aDOT: 2nd lowest Air Yards: 6th fewest Catch Rate Allowed: 2nd most Catch Target %: 2nd highest Wide Target %: 3rd fewest Slot Target %: 3rd highest In summary, this defense tends to allow shorter receptions with a high target and catch rate. They allow a low target % to outside WR's and give up much more to WR's lined up in the slot. This all plays to our advantage. A shorter passing game makes me like receptions more and Otton runs plenty out of the slot. The ATL defense is also capable at bringing pressure, which is another reason why offenses tend to get the ball out quick. They rank 15 in time to pressure and 18th in pressure percentage. This season ATL has allowed the 7th most checkdown throw percentage this season. I think we see Otton continue to be the security blanket in this one. Last season in two games vs this divisional opponent, he had 5 and 6 targets.