Collin Wilson's Picks
Today
OU -42-110
TEM
@
OU
1.1u
08/30 11:00 PM
Oklahoma’s first game in the SEC could be a get healthy event after a terrible bowl appearance for Jackson Arnold. No overlook w Houston on deck. New OL expected to play entire game for experience snaps. Temple might have the worst secondary in FCS, 5 takeaways total last year. Questions at QB w Warner departure. Sooners took Ark State to the woodshed last year 73-0
Pending
STAN +10-112
TCU
@
STAN
1.12u
08/31 2:30 AM
Full write up coming on Action. Project TCU -4, defensive scheme change to the defensive front and minimal depth on the line. Havoc 121st not expected to improve under Ávalos. Daniels and Ayomanor will create explosive in Taylor’s offense. Stanford won both times with extra rest last year (Hawaii Colorado)
CLEM +7.5 (1H)-118
CLEM
@
UGA
1.18u
08/31 4:00 PM
Full write up on Action Friday. 1H wager over full game with multiple suspensions expected for UGA on both sides of the ball
Clemson rushing attack with Mafah and new OL Matt Luke should have success against a number of Georgia DL players that are inexperienced. Mikel Williams comes off the line back to OLB, two DTs will be held out w injury. Klubnik to throw against three new starters in the secondary
SYR -17-110
OHIO
@
SYR
0.55u
08/31 7:30 PM
From Week One Mismatches (Aug 26), Syracuse returning 90% receiving yards w McCord at QB for new coaching staff. Ohio two-deep worst returning numbers in MAC, 24% of PBUs
MASS -135
EMU
@
MASS
1.35u
08/31 7:30 PM
From Week 1 Mismatches (8/26). UMass four turnovers in EMU loss last year, return QB WR v depleted EMU secondary
MIA -135
MIA
@
FLA
0.68u
08/31 7:30 PM
Full preview coming to Action. Key to beating Cam Ward is defensive havoc. Florida DL no better than a year ago with a rank of 101st. Damien Martinez faces a defense that should continue to give up ground explosives
HAW +13.5-110
UCLA
@
HAW
2.2u
08/31 11:30 PM
Project UCLA -12; Hawaii expected to show nothing in Week Zero before UCLA arrives Week 1. Bruins projected to have one of the worst back seven defenses in B1G. Run and Shoot Schager gets all weapons back. Also sprinkling Moneyline.
HAW +475
UCLA
@HAW
0.5u
08/31 11:30 PM
Number at Bet365
Project UCLA -12; Hawaii expected to show nothing in Week Zero before UCLA arrives Week 1. Bruins projected to have one of the worst back seven defenses in B1G. Run and Shoot Schager gets all weapons back. Also sprinkling Moneyline
Under 23.5 (1H)-110
ND
@
TA&M
0.55u
08/31 11:30 PM
Full preview coming at Action Friday. Both defenses expected to continue top 10 havoc rates on defense. Leonard may be asked to do more on the ground w inside zone as both Irish tackles are inexperienced. Weigman not a fit for the RPO double back set of Klein, which could force changes in the 2H
USC +4.5-110
LSU
@
USC
1.1u
09/01 11:30 PM
Full preview over the weekend at Action. Two DC hires, USC the winner with D’Anton Lynn and an all-star cast of coaches on defense. Lynn instantly improved UCLA to top 25 in numerous categories. Kelly promoted from within at co-OCs but offense will be more pass heavy with Nuss
USC +175
LSU
@USC
0.57u
09/01 11:30 PM
Full preview over the weekend. Will look to hedge live on LSU ML when the Trojans establish a lead
WVU -4.5-110
WVU
@
PITT
1.1u
09/14 7:30 PM
From Big 12 Preview: Project West Virginia -11. WVU ground attack against a Pitt defensive front that may be worst in Narduzzi era. Mountaineers off Albany, Pitt off Cincinnati.
https://action.onelink.me/eqFB/dn2txmhw
ARK +11-110
ARK
@TA&M
1.1u
09/28 4:00 PM
From SEC Preview: Tough start to the season for Texas A&M schedule which could lower the power rating; opposite for Arkansas w UAPB and UAB
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more
KSU -6-110
KSU
@
COLO
1.1u
10/12 4:00 PM
From Big 12 Preview: Kansas State big advantage with Edwards/Giddens/Avery Johnson against Colorado front seven. Kansas State comes off a bye for this game. Project Kansas State -11
https://action.onelink.me/eqFB/dn2txmhw
KSU -6.5-110
KU
@KSU
1.1u
10/26 4:00 PM
From Big 12 Preview: Kansas State won 15 years straight, being dangerous multiple back personnel rushing attack to a poor run defense front 7 of Kansas D.
https://action.onelink.me/eqFB/dn2txmhw
MISS -6.5-110
MISS
@FLA
1.1u
11/23 5:00 PM
From SEC Preview: Number is spot on but the spot is horrific for Florida. Ole Miss will come off a bye week, while the Gators will have their 4th consecutive brutal game after Georgia, Texas and LSU
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more
Futures
Clemson +750
Odds to Win College Football Championship
3u
Georgia +1200
Odds to Win College Football Championship
2u
Phillies +1800
Odds to Win the 2019 World Series
1u
Oklahoma +3000
Odds to Win College Football Championship
1u
Cincinnati Reds+450
2024 MLB NL Central - To Win
1u
Corey Seager+8000
2024 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
1u
Georgia Bulldogs+500
2024 NCAAF Championship - To Win
2u
Kansas City Royals o71.5-115
2024 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Utah Utes o9.5+105
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 9.9
SMU Mustangs o7.5-125
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 8.9
Tampa Bay Rays+4500
2024 MLB World Series - To Win
1u
Number from Caesars, also at WH Nevada
Austin Riley+1300
2024 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.5u
Number at FanDuel
Austin Riley+4000
2024 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.5u
Number at SuperBook
Kyle Tucker+3000
2024 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.5u
Kansas City Royals+700
2024 MLB AL Central - To Win
2u
Number at FanDuel
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Yes)-150
2024 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
3u
Project Notre Dame 10.6 wins, only 9 teams projected double digits wins. Return 77% of offense and upgrade at OC w Mike Denbrock. Favorable home schedule, only 5 roadies, bye week before hosting Florida State
Baylor Bears u5.5-125
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.5u
Project 3.2 despite huge positive numbers in TARP. Only 55% of OL back, DeQuan Finn horrific career numbers w pressure. Downgrade OC from Grimes to Spavital (buy Baylor single game Overs). Project 6 games as double digit underdogs
Arizona State Sun Devils u4.5-140
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.8u
Project 2.2; Downgrade at OC with Arroyo, Dillingham expected to change offense to two back set because of depth. 3-star Leavitt expected to win QB. Tough Non-Con, both Utah and KState get a bye in conference play
Colorado Buffaloes u5.5+100
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 4.2; improvement in the starters, zero depth on the roster. Brutal schedule where depth will factor after NDSU-Nebraska-Col State. Trip to Bounce House. Kansas State off bye to Boulder; tough November with all games project TD underdogs
Kansas Jayhawks o8-115
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.88u
Project 8.9; number at DK. Favored jn 10 games to start the season. New OC Grimes not a downgrade, gets BYU and Baylor on schedule. 91% of defense returns. Jalon Daniels gets 90% of receiving yards back, 3rd string QB Marshall shined in Spring.
Stanford Cardinal u3.5-122
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.75u
Project 2.2; 5 teams on schedule are on bye weeks. Back to back East coast travel v Syracuse/Clemson. Brought in just 4 portal players
Virginia Tech Hokies o7.5-144
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.88u
Project 8.2; return all OL snaps. Drones getting Heisman mention. Boost to DL through portal. Easy hedge games to end season w Duke/UVA
Washington Huskies o7.5+110
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Should be the floor for this number; perfect schedule for new coach/schemes w 4 home games v Weber, EMU, Wazzu, Northwestern. Plenty of talent at WR, 87% of passes defended return to secondary
Michigan Wolverines o9-125
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.81u
Project 10.2; number at DK; no drop off on Defense w 72% returning and Wink Martindale takeover. 8 home games on the schedule, double digit favorites in 8. Can hedge v Texas, Oregon, tOSU
Michigan State Spartans u5.5-125
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.81u
Project 4.4; Number at BetSaracen; would take through Under 4.5 +money. Returning less than half of an offense ranked bottom 10 efficiency and explosiveness. 22 players hit the portal since weekend of Spring game
Oklahoma Sooners o7.5+122
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.5u
Project 8.1; new OL held up in Spring game. Transfer WR Burks huge for QB Arnold. Big defensive pickup in portal w Damonic Williams. Stutsman returns at LB. 5 games as minimum 14 point favs; 7 other games projected within one possession.
Rice Owls o6.5+110
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 7.4; Highest TARP team with at least 90% returning both sides of the ball. EJ Warner transfers in from Temple. Numerous hedge spots on November schedule
Rice Owls o6.5+100
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 7.4; Second hit after juice adjustment. Two wins to start w Sam Houston/Tex Southern. Host Houston Army. Rice will have seen triple when Navy visits. Bye week before toughest opponent UTSA.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane u4.5+128
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 3.7; Return 66% offense and 53% of a defense that finished near dead last success rate and havoc. Three roadies surrounding a host spot v Oklahoma State.
Air Force Falcons u6.5-138
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.76u
Project 5.6; return just 32% offense, 13% defense. No Quarterback stood out in spring, new talent at full back. Plenty of hedge spots with 7 games projected less than 6 points
San Diego State Aztecs u5.5-134
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 3.9; ‘Aztec Fast’ expected to replicate Kent State offense (and no defense) for Sean Lewis. Double Digit underdogs in 6, favored in just two games.
Fresno State Bulldogs o7.5-130
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 9.3; Return nearly all of a defense that might be best in G5. DL dominated spring game. Keene will be challenged by Jayden Mandal, Tedford back with the team.
UTEP Miners u4.5+100
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project UTEP 2.1 wins; less than 33% returning in both sides of the ball. Do not have Miner Nation favored in a single game, three coin flip underdog. Only 5 games in El Paso
Marshall Thundering Herd u6.5+110
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project Marshall 5.4; offense finished near dead last in EPA and Finishing drives. Pennington and Parachek beaten in spring by rebuilt D. Brutal non-con w Va Tech/Ohio State. Four opponents come off a bye week. Back to back road underdogs to end season
Appalachian State Mountaineers o7.5-135
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project App State 10; highest returning amount of experience on defense in all of Sun Belt. 78% returns on offense. Double digit favorites in 6 games.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns o7.5-150
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project ULL 8.3; offense finished top 25 in success rate, defense returns 82% of experience. Collier may eclipse Wooldridge at QB. Should start 3-0. TD or greater favs in conference v SMiss, Coastal, SBama and ULM
Texas State Bobcats o7.5-125
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project Texas State 9.5; best offense in Sun Belt returns 93% adding Sun Belt Player of the year WB Jordan McCloud. QB three deep depth chart. Could start 3-0, should steam roll the November schedule
Jacksonville State Gamecocks u8-115
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project Jacksonville State 7.2; just 35% of Rich Rod offense returns. Only 9 possible wins on schedule with road trips to Louisville, Liberty and WKU
UCF Knights+1000
2024 NCAAF Big 12 Conference - To Win
2u
From Big 12 Preview: UCF offensive pieces from Portal may be best in B12 w KJ Jefferson and Peny Boone. Every unit top 5 in B12 except special teams. Hedge against Utah in season finale
https://action.onelink.me/eqFB/dn2txmhw
TCU Horned Frogs u7.5-140
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.8u
From Big 12 Preview: New DC Ávalos will run four man front, TCU lost best defensive interior to portal. B12 road travel to Kansas, Utah. SMU rivalry sandwiched between conference games. OL and special teams roster wipe and portal dependent.
https://action.onelink.me/eqFB/dn2txmhw
Texas Tech Red Raiders u7.5+100
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
From Big 12 Preview: OL just 65% of snaps back from a unit outside T100 in stuff rate and line yards, no blocking for Tahj Brooks. Red Raiders TD+ underdogs in 3 games. Must win 8 of remaining 9 games
https://action.onelink.me/eqFB/dn2txmhw
Utah Utes+260
2024 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
2u
From Big 12 Preview: Utah has just a 15% chance to finish 3rd or worse in the Big 12 standings. As a Championship Game appearance guarantees a hedge of this ticket
https://action.onelink.me/eqFB/dn2txmhw
Tennessee Volunteers (No)-220
2024 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
2.2u
From SEC Preview: Tennessee schedule has 2 games that are out of reach w Georgia and Alabama. Other games against NC State, OU and Florida could expose the secondary
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more
Alabama Crimson Tide+800
2024 NCAAF SEC Conference - To Win
2u
From SEC Preview: Marriage of DeBoer’s playbook and Milroe’s deep ball will do damage. OL is addition by subtraction. No fall off on defense despite the loss of Caleb Downs
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more
Texas Longhorns u9.5+160
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
From SEC Preview: Alternate team total with too much juice on 10.5. Horns always struggle week after Red River, draw Georgia this season. Michigan game a coin flip, best version of TAMU will be last game of season w Elko. Red Zone and Finishing Drives decline without RoCat Package
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more
South Carolina Gamecocks u5.5+102
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
From SEC Preview: RPO offense coming w Sellers and Rocket, potentially worst offensive and defensive line in the conference. Will be favored in all Non-Con and Vandy games, project 8 underdog spots
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
Vanderbilt Commodores o3-120
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.4u
From SEC Preview: Project exactly 3 with non-con supplying three wins, GaState about a field goal game but expected to finish bottom of Sun Belt. Will need an SEC upset to go over, Kill/Beck/Pavia get Hugh Freeze for a 3rd straight upset
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
Rutgers Scarlet Knights o6.5+120
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
From B1G Preview: Project 6.7, giving value to +juice. B1G schedule softens up, especially Nov stretch. Howard/Akron non-con wins. 8 games projected within 6 points
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-big-ten-odds-picks-preview-futures-best-bets-ohio-state-oregon-michigan-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
Penn State Nittany Lions (Yes)-140
2024 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
1.4u
From B1G Preview: Fresh coordinators w Kotelnicki/Allen. Project over 10 wins with a soft schedule that drops Michigan. Projected heavy favorite in every game but Ohio State and USC
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-big-ten-odds-picks-preview-futures-best-bets-ohio-state-oregon-michigan-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
Ohio State Buckeyes (No)+450
2024 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
1.11u
From B1G Preview: Questions around Will Howard deep passing, RB depth for Chip Kelly’s offense with Caleb Downs potentially moving over, OL issues w poor grading in projected starting 5. Single possession spreads v Oregon, Michigan, Penn State
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-big-ten-odds-picks-preview-futures-best-bets-ohio-state-oregon-michigan-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
Indiana Hoosiers o5.5-110
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.2u
From B1G Preview: Heavy Favs in non-con, short fav in 3 conference games. Short road dog spots Northwestern and UCLA all winnable
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-big-ten-odds-picks-preview-futures-best-bets-ohio-state-oregon-michigan-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs u5-115
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.3u
From CUSA Preview: Cumbie loses AD that hired him after two 3-9 seasons. Jack Turner below replacement level at QB. New tackles on OL. Only two fav spots, Nicholls and UTEP. Kennesaw St only team projected within a possession
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-conference-usa-odds-picks-preview-best-bets-futures-liberty-western-kentucky-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
Sam Houston State Bearkats+2500
2024 NCAAF Conference USA Conference - To Win
1u
From CUSA Preview: Number at Rivers. No offensive identity LY w injuries. Jase Bauer CMU transfers in AB, Nolan Smith WR returns 2.1 yRR. Easiest conference road schedule.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-conference-usa-odds-picks-preview-best-bets-futures-liberty-western-kentucky-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 2-4-0 | 33% | -1.29u |
| Last 7 Days | 5-6-0 | 45% | -1.44u |
| Last 30 Days | 5-6-0 | 45% | -1.44u |
| All Time | 4442-4255-196 | 50% | 50.62u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 1602-1418-62 | 52% | 153.99u |
| NCAA_BASEBALL | 155-129-6 | 53% | 7.97u |
| MLB | 1149-1149-68 | 49% | 7.77u |
| NCAAW | 3-2-0 | 60% | 2.00u |
| UFL | 3-1-0 | 75% | 1.50u |
| UFC | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.00u |
| USFL | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.50u |
| NBA | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.55u |
| NFL | 269-260-12 | 50% | -12.27u |
| Golf | 63-96-6 | 38% | -25.40u |
| NCAAB | 1190-1196-41 | 49% | -88.66u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Collin has supported the Kansas City Royals since before he could walk, growing up in Arkansas just a few hours away from Kauffman Stadium. In 2014, the Royals faced Jon Lester and the Athletics in the AL Wild Card game. Collin decided to wager 8 grand to cover the cost of his family seats behind the Royals dugout. The A's had a commanding lead late in the game before Salvador Perez painted the 3rd base line giving Kansas City the win, and an emotional and financial win for Collin.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
As sketched by The Action Network with DraftKings in 2020, Collin left his grandmothers birthday party at Chili's when Cincinnati came back to beat Duke in the 2012 Belk Bowl. Collin had a sizable wager, and Duke's lead in the game helped Collin converse with 20 family members to celebrate the 79th birthday of his beloved grandmother. When Travis Kelce his the explosive touchdown, Collin threw a $100 bill on the table and left his family instantly.
Specialties
- College Football
- MLB
- NFL
- WWE
- Academy Awards