The 2024 Presidential Election is less than two weeks away, at which juncture election odds and projections will not matter and the votes will be tallied up.
But for now, we are still evaluating the latest odds in a number of battleground states, such as Wisconsin.
The Badger State will be decisive in the 2024 presidential election. Wisconsin has voted Democrat since 1988, with one key exception: Donald Trump won there in 2016.
Will Trump be able to repeat that 2016 outcome, or will he fall to Kamala Harris as he did to Biden in 2020? Here is what the presidential election odds suggest.
Trump vs. Harris Wisconsin Odds
| Presidential Candidate | BetMGM UK Wisconsin Odds | Implied Chance to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -133 | 53.3% |
| Kamala Harris | +100 | 46.7% |
Odds are according to BetMGM UK. The percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vigorish removed. Gambling on elections is currently not legally allowed at sportsbooks in the United States.
Trump is slightly favored at BetMGM to pick up Wisconsin's 10 electoral votes. At -133 and with Harris at +100, the implied probabilities place the 45th President around 53.3%.
If he is able to win Wisconsin, it bodes very well for his chances across the Rust Belt and thus overall in the election.
But do the polling numbers and projections currently back up that edge?
Trump vs. Harris Wisconsin Polling Numbers
According to Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin, Harris holds a 0.7-point edge in Wisconsin polling. Over at FiveThirtyEight, Harris is maintaining a tight 0.4-point lead.
Both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections in Wisconsin were decided by 0.7%, respectively. In 2016, Trump beat Hillary Clinton by 0.7%, while Biden did the same to Trump in 2020.
Hence, it's no surprise to see a tight race unfolding.
