2024 Democratic Vice Presidential Candidate Odds
| Vice Presidential Candidate | Odds to Be Nominee | Chance to Be Nominee |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Shapiro | -500 | 57.27% |
| Andy Beshear | +600 | 9.82% |
| Mark Kelly | +650 | 9.16% |
| Tim Walz | +900 | 6.87% |
| Pete Buttigieg | +1600 | 4.04% |
| Roy Cooper | +3300 | 2.02% |
| Gretchen Whitmer | +5000 | 1.35% |
| Hillary Clinton | +5000 | 1.35% |
| Catherine Cortez Masto | +5000 | 1.35% |
| Gavin Newsom | +5000 | 1.35% |
| Jay Robert Pritzker | +5000 | 1.35% |
| Michelle Obama | +5000 | 1.35% |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | +10000 | 0.68% |
| Amy Klobuchar | +10000 | 0.68% |
| Andrew Yang | +10000 | 0.68% |
| Joe Biden | +10000 | 0.68% |
Odds are according to BetMGM in the UK.Chance to be the nominee are based on implied probability with the vigorish removed. These markets are not available at sportsbooks in the U.S.
For the latest analysis on the vice presidential candidate odds and predictions, head over to 2024 Presidential Election Odds: Latest Predictions for President, Democratic VP, Winning Party.
The Democratic National Convention is approaching, and its significance is heightened by Kamala Harris' likely nomination as the Democratic candidate for the upcoming presidential election — and who her pick for vice president will be, too.
So how does a Kamala Harris-Josh Shapiro ticket sound?
On Tuesday night, reports broke that Vice President Harris is planning to select her vice presidential running mate before Tuesday, when she'll take part in a rally with her candidate for vice president … in Philadelphia.
Given that Josh Shapiro is the governor of Pennsylvania, most people figured this was a sign that Shapiro would be Harris' choice. And on Wednesday morning, the Democratic vice presidential candidate odds moved accordingly, as Shapiro went from -110 to -227 to secure the nomination for Democratic VP.
At -227 odds to be the VP nominee, Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro now has a 48.96% chance of joining Harris on the Democratic ticket in November.
Shapiro is followed by Arizona Senator Mark Kelly (+450), Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear (+650) and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz (+800).
When President Joe Biden first announced he would not seek reelection and would instead endorse Harris, Shapiro opened as the betting favorite to be the 2024 Democratic vice presidential candidate at +140. He was followed by North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper (who has since removed his name from consideration for the position, yet is still +1400), with Arizona Senator Kelly just behind them.
Late last week, Kelly moved ahead of the pack, with his odds shifting from +500 to +125. There were even times this weekend where Kelly, a former astronaut and husband of Gabby Giffords, who was the victim of gun violence when she served in Congress, was even money to be Harris' running mate.
As the Democratic National Convention approaches, various potential vice presidential candidates are being considered, making this a crucial decision for Harris.
Both Shapiro and Cooper are popular, relatively bipartisan leaders of crucial swing states — states that will change the tide of the November election.
Walz, the two-term governor of Minnesota, is also the chair of the Democratic Governors Association, which is actively involved in fundraising and campaigning for Democratic gubernatorial candidates.
Gretchen Whitmer, the Michigan governor, has also been mentioned, particularly for her focus on abortion rights during her reelection campaign.
A report last week indicated the Harris campaign had reached out to the camps of Cooper, Kelly, Shapiro, Walz and Whitmer to "request vetting materials."
During a combined rally with Whitmer and Shapiro on Monday, Whitmer called out the Republican nominee for vice president, J.D. Vance (per NBC News):
“To be clear, Kamala Harris has more experience than the Trump-Vance ticket combined,” she said, adding of Vance: “He’s really made his values clear lately. He does not see women as equals. He does not want everyone to have a seat at the table. He’s scared of us.”
Although the Michigan governor is seen by many as a strong potential vice-presidential candidate, that strength is not necessarily reflected in the latest election betting odds, where she is +3300 — behind Cooper and United States Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg.
Buttigieg is also a national figure after coming out of nowhere to compete in the 2020 Democratic primary. The former Afghanistan veteran, Harvard grad and South Bend mayor has proven he can be popular in more moderate swing states.
Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear's influence on the election, particularly his stance on critical issues like abortion access and partisanship, is also a significant factor to consider, and one that is almost certainly playing into his odds to be the Democratic candidate for vice president at +450.
The significance of the vice presidential nominee selection cannot be overstated, as it will play a pivotal role in the upcoming election. Still, the further we move down the Democratic vice presidential candidate odds, the more amusing some of the names become.
The idea of Hillary Clinton (+4000) as a vice president doesn't really pass the smell test, as one imagines she'd be more interested in the chief executive position if she were going to put herself through another election cycle.
Michelle Obama at +5000 is another eye-catching name, and while we can't rule it out, the former First Lady has insisted she has no plans on running for office at this time.
Last but not least, you might get a chuckle at President Joe Biden being on the list at 100-1.
