With three weeks to go until the 2024 Presidential Election, Donald Trump has established himself as the favorite, at least according to all major sportsbooks where political betting is eligible.
You are not legally able to wager on politics in the United States, and as such American sportsbooks do not have odds posted.
However, in places where betting on American politics is legal, such as Ontario and the United Kingdom, the former president has established himself as a big favorite.
Donald Trump vs Kamala Harris Odds
| Presidential Candidate | BetMGM UK Election Odds | Implied Chance to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -167 | 59% |
| Kamala Harris | +130 | 41% |
Odds are according to BetMGM UK. The percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vigorish removed. Gambling on elections is currently not legally allowed at sportsbooks in the United States.
At BetMGM in the U.K., Trump is listed at -167 while Harris is +130. With the juice removed, the implied probabilities place Trump at 59% and Harris at 41%.
Harris vs Trump Odds
| Presidential Candidate | Betfair Election Odds | Implied Chance to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -150 | 58.8% |
| Kamala Harris | +138 | 41.2% |
Odds are according to Betfair UK. The percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vigorish removed. Gambling on elections is currently not legally allowed at sportsbooks in the United States.
Though Betfair has cheaper prices on both Trump and Harris, when accounting for the juice in this instance you will see that the implied probabilities are actually very similar to what is presented at BetMGM, with Trump given a 58.8% chance to win the election and Harris given a 41.2% chance.
President Odds
| Presidential Candidate | FanDuel Ontario Election Odds | Implied Chance to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -154 | 58.2% |
| Kamala Harris | +130 | 41.8% |
Odds are according to FanDuel Ontario. The percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vigorish removed. Gambling on elections is currently not legally allowed at sportsbooks in the United States.
FanDuel's implied election odds are currently the most bullish toward Harris, with the current vice president being given a 41.8% chance of winning the election.
All three major sportsbooks are within a 1% range on implied chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, implying that the market is somewhat efficient in terms of betting action. There are no major outliers at the moment.
For continued coverage of the 2024 Presidential Election in relation to betting markets, Action Network will continue to provide daily updates.
