Kamala Harris Odds for President & Odds to Win Democratic Nomination | 2024 Presidential Election Odds

We now know that Joe Biden will not be the Democratic nominee for president in November's election.

And we're fairly sure that Vice President Kamala Harris will take on the mantle and run for president in Biden's place against former president Donald Trump — although it sounds like she maybe, possibly could have some competition in the form of West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin, a former Democrat turned Independent.

So, what does all of the news on Sunday, from Biden dropping out to Manchin's reported consideration, mean for Harris' odds to be president? And what are the odds that Harris will officially win the Democratic nomination for president?

If you're looking for answers to those questions, you've come to the right place. While we've been updating the 2024 presidential election odds with every development along the way, let's take a look specifically at the latest on the odds for Kamala Harris to be the Democratic nominee and to win the White House.

Kamala Harris Odds to Be President

Vice President Kamala Harris is +200 to win the 2024 presidential election following Joe Biden's decision to drop out. At +200, Harris' odds give the current vice president a 26.87% chance of winning the presidency.

Kamala Harris Odds to Be Democratic Candidate

Vice President Harris is also a heavy favorite to win the Democratic nomination at -1400, a 78.29% chance of replacing Biden as the party's candidate for president in opposition to former president Trump.

It's rather remarkable just how far Vice President Harris' odds have moved in the span of less than a month.

Heading into the first debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, Harris was a +5000 long shot to win the Electoral College and the 2024 United States presidential election. Those were the same odds as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a man who is quite passionate about his campaign — but in the same breath, a man who has never been a serious candidate for president.

At the time, Harris also had just slightly better odds than Nikki Haley (+6600). And remember, we're talking about the election odds in late June, even though Haley dropped out of the race all the way back in March.

All it took was one of the worst debate performances in modern history for Harris' election odds to see renewed life, though. By the end of that fateful June 27 night, Harris had moved all the way from +5000 to +1600. And by July 3, just six days later she was favored over Biden and trailed only Trump.

While the two chief Democratic executives went back and forth over the ensuing weeks, even the betting odds gave one the feeling that Biden was doing everything in his power just to remain the nominee. He was only ever favored over Harris the past couple of weeks when he made strong, unequivocal statements. But the moment the whispers started back up, Harris would move ahead of the incumbent once more.

On that note, here are the full updated odds to be the Democratic nominee and the presidential election odds.

Odds via BetMGM UK.

Odds via BetMGM UK. Chance to win the election and election predictions are based on implied probability with the vigorish removed. Gambling on elections is not legally allowed in the United States.