There are 22 days until the presidential election as Donald Trump and Kamala Harris gear up for the final stretch of their respective campaigns.
One of, if not the most important state in the race for 270 electoral votes, is Pennsylvania. The Keystone State's selection for President has also been the candidate to win the White House over the last four elections. Barack Obama won the state twice, while Trump won in 2016 and Joe Biden won in 2020.
Pennsylvania accounts for 19 electoral votes, and according to the Decision Desk HQ, neither candidate is projected to reach 270 electoral votes without securing the state.
So, how do presidential projections indicate the Pennsylvania race is looking?
Pennsylvania Presidential Election Projections
538 has Harris at 48.1% in the state with Trump at 47.4%, while the BBC has Harris at 48% against Trump's 47.2%. Both of these numbers fall well within the margin of error, however, so it's hard to draw anything meaningful from such a small gap.
With that being said, Harris also holds a .6% edge in Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin. Real Clear Politics, on the other hand, has Trump ahead by .3%.
Interestingly, the betting odds do not reflect a slight edge in Pennsylvania for Harris and the Democrats.
Pennsylvania Presidential Election Odds
According to presidential election odds at BetMGM UK, Trump is -125 to win Pennsylvania while Harris is -110. "Any other party" is 100/1.
At Betfair, both candidates are -105 to win Pennsylvania. -105 odds would indicate a 51.2% implied probability, but removing the vigorish, or juice, here gives us essentially a 50/50 split both ways.
| Presidential Candidate | PA Election Odds | Chance to Win PA |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -105 | 50% |
| Kamala Harris | -105 | 50% |
Odds are according to Betfair UK. The percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vigorish removed. Gambling on elections is currently not legally allowed at sportsbooks in the United States.
Though Pennsylvania may be a dead toss-up, election odds don't reflect that narrative when it comes to the overall electoral college.
At Betfair, Trump is -125 to win the election, with Harris at +120. At BetMGM UK, Trump is a whopping -143, and Harris is +115.
For more information on the state of the race, check out our overall update on the election odds.
