Presidential Election Odds: Chances to Win 2024 Republican Iowa Caucuses
| Candidate | Odds | Chance to Win Iowa Caucus |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -10000 | 96.31% |
| Ron DeSantis | +5000 | 1.91% |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | +7000 | 1.37% |
| Nikki Haley | +45000 | 0.22% |
| Mike Pence | +100000 | 0.10% |
| Tim Scott | +100000 | 0.10% |
Odds via European exchange Betfair. Implied probability is "fair" implied probability, without the vigorish. Sportsbooks cannot offer political betting in the United States.
The first major milestone of the 2024 Presidential Election is here, as the 2024 Republican Iowa Caucuses takes place on Monday, January 15.
Here are the latest odds to win the Iowa Caucuses for the 2024 Republican nominee for president. For more on 2024 presidential election odds, check out our Presidential Election Odds: Updated Chances to Win U.S. Presidency in 2024.
The 2024 Republican Iowa Caucuses are the first major event of the 2024 presidential election cycle. While historically both parties held their first nominating event in the Iowa Caucuses, the first Democratic primary of the 2024 presidential election season will be the South Carolina Democratic Primary on February 4, with the Democratic Iowa Caucuses moved to March.
Former president Donald Trump is a resounding favorite to win the 2024 Republican Iowa Caucuses. His current odds to win in Iowa are -10000, which means you would have to bet $1000 to win $10 in profit (plus your $1000 bet back). At those odds, Trump's chances to win the Republican Iowa Caucuses are 96.31%, according to the implied probability of the odds.
For more on the Iowa caucuses, the Associated Press has a handy explainer on everything you need to know.
