With just two weeks to go until the presidential election in the United States, Donald Trump's odds are getting shorter and shorter as the days go on.
Heading into October, Kamala Harris was a very marginal favorite to win the presidential election, but the odds have completely shifted, with Trump now anywhere from -170 to -200 to win the White House for a second time.
Trump's current lead represents the biggest it has been since incumbent President Joe Biden dropped out and Harris entered the race.
Trump vs. Harris Odds
| Presidential Candidate | BetMGM UK Election Odds | Implied Chance to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -182 | 60.8% |
| Kamala Harris | +140 | 39.2% |
Odds are according to BetMGM UK. The percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vigorish removed. Gambling on elections is currently not legally allowed at sportsbooks in the United States.
At BetMGM UK, Trump is -182 while Harris is +140. Trump's odds have climbed from -155 to -165 to -182 within the past week. Prior to the start of the month, Trump was -105 and a slight underdog.
Harris' odds have drifted from -130 to a current +140, reflecting a drop in implied probability of approximately 15%.
| Presidential Candidate | bet365 Ontario Election Odds | Implied Chance to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -188 | 62% |
| Kamala Harris | +150 | 38% |
Odds are according to bet365 Ontario. The percentages are based on implied probabilities with the vigorish removed.
Over in Ontario, bet365 is listing Trump as an even bigger favorite. With a -188 / +150 split, Trump's adjusted implied chance to win the election is at 62%.
For reference, Trump's peak came right after his attempted assassination in Pennsylvania. His odds climbed over -300 and remained there until Biden dropped out of the race.
Presidential Election Projections
For Harris supporters, at least the projections don't look quite as bad as the odds at the moment.
At Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin, Harris holds very slight polling edges in Wisconsin and Michigan, though Harris and Trump are dead even in Pennsylvania.
The Economist's election model currently has Trump winning the election in 54 out of 100 simulations, and FiveThirtyEight has a similar projection, with Trump winning in 53 of 100 simulations.
Action Network will continue to provide updated election odds and information as decision day approaches.
