2022-23 Premier League Relegation Odds
Manchester United are now roughly 28-1 (3.5% implied odds) to be relegated for the first time since 1974.
That's after having opened at +25000 (0.4% implied odds) during the preseason in the relegation market.
United have never been relegated in their 29 seasons in the Premier League. The lowest they've ever finished is seventh.
The club is mired in so much disarray that even Elon Musk is making overtures to purchase the club, he said in a tweet on Tuesday night.
Also, I’m buying Manchester United ur welcome
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) August 17, 2022
Musk later refuted the claim in a tweet four hours later, claiming it was a bit, because of course he did.
To add insult to injury, the player some consider the greatest of all-time wants to get out desperately.
Cristiano Ronaldo has long expressed his desire this summer to leave the club, and on Tuesday a report from The Telegraph indicated that Man U has finally seemed to grant his wishes.
The squad have woefully underperformed expectations, which were high as per usual. Some prognosticators even gave United a solid chance to finish in the top four, with the oddsmakers tailing that assessment slightly.
ManU were about +150 to finish in the top four prior to the start of the season. Those odds are now +650, representing a decrease in odds from 40% to 13.33%.
Embarrassing losses to Brighton and Brentford will do that to you, especially when you go down 4-0 to a team that was in Championship just two years prior.
The public hasn't entirely invested itself in the idea of United going down just yet, however. At BetMGM, just 1.8% of the wagers and 0.1% of the handle is on United getting relegated.
The rest of the relegation battle has stayed firm, with the three clubs that were recently promoted most at risk, according to oddsmakers.
Bournemouth are the favorites at -200 (66.67% implied odds) to finish in the bottom three after failing to improve their squad after promotion.
Nottingham Forest, in their first season in the top flight since the mid-1990s, have the second-best odds to go down at +130. Still, they've picked up three points over their first two games with a topsy-turvy 1-0 win over West Ham on Sunday.
Southampton had a great showing against Tottenham for the game's first 20 minutes before losing their nerve. They displayed grit in a 2-2 comeback against Leeds.
Despite these factors — and despite having a very solid England international in James Ward-Prowse helming the captaincy — the Premier League staples are third-best favorites at +150 to go down. That implies odds of 40%.
The third championship club is Fulham, which have the fourth-best odds to go down. The folks at Craven Cottage put up a valiant fight against Liverpool in their opener (1-1 draw) before drawing 0-0 to Wolves, another relegation contender.
Fulham have +175 odds to go down (36.4%) as of Tuesday afternoon.
