2022-23 Premier League Winner Odds: Manchester United Plummets After Miserable Outing vs. Brighton

2022-23 Premier League Winner Odds: Manchester United Plummets After Miserable Outing vs. Brighton article feature image
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Stu Forster/Getty Images. Pictured: Manchester United defender Harry Maguire.

2022-23 Premier League Odds

Manchester United picked up where they've left off the last few seasons by laying an egg against Brighton in their season opener on Sunday morning.

The 2-1 loss to Brighton at home illuminated the persistent, incessant flaws that have mired United in years past.

Fred, a $65 million transfer in 2018, looks like a Championship player in the midfield.

The defense, backed by $96 million transfer Harry Maguire, can't move laterally and has its structure collapse at least four times per match.

Marcus Rashford has lost all confidence and is a complete shell of the version of himself he displayed in 2019. A play in the second half in which he let a pass roll under him for a Brighton throw-in is a perfect allegory to how his last few seasons have gone.

When Danny Welback is the best forward on the pitch — better than Rashford, better than Jadon Sancho — that's when you know you have problems.

The markets took heed. While United had been, to some sadists, a sleeper choice to win the league this season, their odds have already halved in that market.

While United had been roughly +3300 to win their first Premier League since Sir Alex Ferguson was at the helm, their odds plummeted to +6500 on Sunday night. That's an implied probability change of -1.5%.

Their odds at DraftKings to finish top four have also dropped from +175 to +275. That's a probability change of -10%.

And their odds to finish top six have also fallen precipitously. They had been -250 to finish for a European spot earlier this month, but now, they're -120. That's an odds drop of -17%.

United has only finished outside of the top six once since the advent of the Premier League, when they did so under David Moyes in the club's first season after Ferguson left.

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Avery Yang is a General Editor at The Action Network and a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

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