Arsenal and PSG will meet today in one of the Champions League semifinals. Kick-off at Emirates Stadium in London is set for 3:00 p.m. EDT.
Arsenal is favored at +115, with the over/under set at 2.5 goals (-115o / -110u).
Let's dive into my Arsenal vs. PSG prediction.
Arsenal vs. PSG Odds, Prediction
| PSG Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -145 | 2.5 -115o / -110u | +245 |
| Arsenal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 +105 | 2.5 -115o / -110u | +115 |
Arsenal vs. PSG spread: Arsenal -0.5 (+105 ), PSG +0.5 (-145)
Arsenal vs. PSG over/under: 2.5 (-115o / -110u)
Arsenal vs. PSG moneyline: Arsenal +115, Draw +245, PSG +245
Arsenal vs. PSG best bet:Arsenal Moneyline
Arsenal Prediction
The Premier League title race is officially over. Liverpool are champions, and Arsenal can now fully shift their focus to the Champions League — a trophy they dream of winning for the first time in club history.
Their elimination of Real Madrid in the quarterfinals firmly established them as one of the main contenders. After all, this squad has everything needed to chase European glory, starting with Mikel Arteta — a young coach who has successfully instilled a winning mentality at Arsenal after nearly two decades of struggles.
One of their greatest strengths is their offensive identity despite not relying on a traditional center-forward. The hosts are averaging 2.5 goals per match in the competition, the second-best mark behind Barcelona (3.08). However, nine of their 30 goals came against a single opponent, PSV, in the Round of 16.
They arrive at this crucial match well-rested, having skipped domestic league action over the weekend. However, injuries and suspensions remain an issue, with key absences including Kai Havertz, Gabriel Magalhaes, Thomas Partey, and Gabriel Jesus. Mikel Merino and Ben White are questionable.
PSG Prediction
PSG crowned themselves Ligue 1 champions for the 13th time this season, clinching the title with six games to spare. There is no doubt that they are the dominant force in France, but they still have something to prove at the European level.
They reached their first Champions League final in 2020, narrowly falling to Bayern Munich. Now, they're looking for redemption — and doing so in their first season after Kylian Mbappé’s high-profile move to Real Madrid would make it even sweeter.
Mbappé may be gone, but Luis Enrique’s squad is still loaded with star power. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Ousmane Dembélé form a dangerous tandem up front. João Neves, Fabián Ruiz, and Vitinha provide variety and depth in midfield. Marquinhos and Willian Pacho form a solid wall in defense, and Gianluigi Donnarumma holds things together in goal.
PSG suffered a home defeat to Nice last Friday, despite having many of their regular starters on the field, but their attention was on the Champions League. They enter this massive clash in London with no new injury concerns or suspensions.
Arsenal vs. PSG Pick
These two teams already met once this season in the Champions League group stage, also at the Emirates. That match, played on October 1, ended with a 2-0 Arsenal victory, courtesy of goals from Kai Havertz and Bukayo Saka.
The Parisians managed only 10 shots (just two on target) that night — nearly half of their current tournament average of 19.7 shots per game. A clear sign that Arsenal knows how to neutralize them.
The average odds for an Arsenal victory in this semifinal first leg are significantly higher than they were when these two sides faced off in October. This is only the second time the Gunners have been underdogs to win a Champions League home match since returning to the competition under Mikel Arteta.
With consensus odds for a home win hovering around +115, it’s the perfect time to back the favorites on the moneyline.
Arsenal vs. PSG Pick: Arsenal Moneyline (+115, DraftKings)
