Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Odds
| Atletico Madrid Odds | +175 |
| Real Madrid Odds | +140 |
| Draw | +250 |
| Over / Under | 2.5 -154 / +120 |
After wrapping up the Supercopa de España over the weekend, cup soccer continues in Spain with the Copa del Rey round of 16 this midweek, which is headlined by the Madrid Derby on Thursday.
Real Madrid won their first silverware of the season with a dominant win over Barcelona in Saudi Arabia on Sunday.
Meanwhile, Atlético Madrid are looking for its first domestic cup trophy since winning this competition in 2013.
This is a huge derby in the capital of Spain, and we should get goals to add to the entertainment of this fiery affair.
Check out my Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction below.
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Atletico Madrid
Diego Simeone’s side put up a much better fight in the Supercopa compared to Barcelona, losing to Real Madrid in extra time in the semifinal round.
However, the crosstown rival has beaten Los Blancos this season. Atlético won the league fixture at home back in September thanks to a pair of goals from Álvaro Morata.
The Spanish striker has been impressive this season, picking up 17 goals in all competitions. The other player on the scoresheet in that victory was Antoine Griezmann, who has also been in fine form.
Greizmann has matched Morata’s 17 goals to go along with four assists. The duo has played a direct role in 68% of the team's goals on the campaign.
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Real Madrid
With the first one already in the trophy case, Carlo Ancelotti’s team has taken the first step towards a treble. Los Blancos are at the top of La Liga and into the Champions League's knockout round.
It was Ancelotti’s 11th trophy at the club, and if Vinícius Júnior continues to play like that, he should add more soon.
The Brazilian star posted a first-half hat trick in the Supercopa final. This comes after he missed a chunk of the season due to injury.
With the combination of Vini Jr. with Rodrygo and Jude Bellingham, this Madrid attack is set to be good for a long time.
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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
Prediction
In the derby over the weekend, I backed goals, and I believe this is another rivalry match that should be high-scoring.
So, my best bet is for the total to fly over 2.5 goals at -134 odds at bet365, which I would play to -145. You could also pair this with both teams to score at +105 odds for a better price.
Starting first with the hosts, eight of 10 La Liga matches at the Cívitas Metropolitano Stadium have had at least three goals, including all three against top 10 sides. This also cashed in two of three UCL matches at home.
Meanwhile, three of Real Madrid’s five league fixtures against teams in the top half of the table went over this same total. All three of the road Champions League games finished with at least three goals.
The other key to this is the fact that Ancelotti is missing key defensive pieces in his lineup. His primary center backs of David Alaba and Éder Militão are joined on the sidelines by starting keeper Thibaut Courtois.
This is not good against the potent Atlético attack, and it also helps that Real Madrid’s attack is also flowing with goals right now. Give me the over in another cup derby in Spain.
Pick: Over 2.5 (-134)
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