The Biggest World Cup Betting Upsets Since 1998

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The elite teams tend to win the World Cup, but that doesn't mean there isn't carnage along the way.

Since 1998, there have been 18 upsets in the group stage at +500 or higher, including Saudi Arabia in 2022, which cashed at +2450.

Biggest Group Stage Upsets

YearWinnerLoserOdds
2022Saudi ArabiaArgentina+2450
2018South KoreaGermany+1800
2010SwitzerlandSpain+1200
2022CameroonBrazil+800
2014Costa RicaUruguay+780
2002SenegalFrance+770
2022Costa RicaJapan+650
2018MexicoGermany+650
2022AustraliaDenmark+640
2022JapanGermany+630
2002USAPortugal+610
2022JapanSpain+600
2010SlovakiaItaly+580
2002DenmarkFrance+560
2014Costa RicaItaly+550
2022TunisiaFrance+500
2002CroatiaItaly+500
1998NorwayBrazil+500

Biggest Knockout Stage Upsets

Brazil fell yet again in the knockout stage to Croatia, adding to a wild stat.

Since 1998, there have been eight upsets at +275 or higher, and here are the teams:

  • Brazil: 4 losses
  • Every other country: 4 losses
YearWinnerLoserOdds
2006FranceBrazil+410 (90 mins)
2022CroatiaBrazil+400 (PKs)
2018RussiaSpain+330 (PKs)
1998CroatiaGermany+330 (90 mins)
2010NetherlandsBrazil+305 (90 mins)
2022MoroccoSpain+300 (PKs)
2002USAMexico+290 (90 mins)
2018BelgiumBrazil+275 (90 mins)
About the Author
Evan is a Content Producer for The Action Network. Born and raised in New York City, he solely roots for teams who cover. His fears: bullpens, quicksand and stoppage time.

Follow Evan Abrams @EvanHAbrams on Twitter/X.

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