Champions League Final Odds & Picks: Our Favorite Bets for PSG vs. Bayern Munich (Sunday, August 23)

Champions League Final: PSG vs. Bayern Munich Odds

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The 2020 Champions League Final has arrived and it should be a doozy.

Perhaps no team in Europe has been as dominant as Bayern Munich this season. The German giants went a perfect 9-for-9 in the Bundesliga after the hiatus and then followed that up by beating Chelsea, Barcelona and Lyon in convincing fashion.

Ligue 1 didn't finish the 2019-20 season after the shutdown but Paris Saint-Germain were so dominant in France that it didn't matter. They won the league going away. PSG came back from the break and defeated Borussia Dortmund, Atalanta and RB Leipzig to finally reach the Champions League Final.

These are two of the best offenses in all of soccer, so expect some fireworks in Lisbon on Sunday.

Here are our favorite bets for Bayern Munich vs. PSG on Sunday:

BJ Cunningham: Over 3.5 (+100)

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If you're a fan of high-scoring soccer matches, this is a dream matchup.

Bayern and PSG are the two best offenses in the world in terms of expected goals. Bayern averaged 2.73 xG per match in the Bundesliga, while PSG average 2.94 xG per match in Ligue 1 this past season.

Bayern’s path to the Champions League final was full of destruction and humiliation. They won Group B without dropping a point and outscored their opponents, 24-5. They annihilated Chelsea, 7-1, on aggregate and then obliterated Lionel Messi and Barcelona, 8-2, in a match that we will all talk about for years to come.

Bayern followed up their dismantling of Barcelona with a comprehensive 3-0 win over Lyon.

Bayern have not dropped a point since a draw against RB Leipzig on Feb. 9. Their last loss came on Dec. 7, 2019 against Borussia Monchengladbach. They have taken domination to a whole new level.

PSG's journey to the final was a little more dramatic. Les Parisiens dominated Group A but then needed to come back against Borussia Dortmund and Atalanta in their first two knock-out round matches. PSG followed that up with a terrific 3-0 win over RB Leipzig.

Three's a chance that PSG will be overmatched in this game because they haven't played an opponent on Bayern's level yet, but there's really only one way I'm looking in this final.

I'm not overthinking this bet. These are the world's two best offenses and I have 4.29 goals projected for this match. I'll take the Over 3.5 goals at +100 and would bet it to -110.

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Anthony Dabbundo: Over 3.5 (+100)

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At the risk of overpromising the potential of this matchup on Sunday, the Champions League Final has potential to be one of the most exciting finales in many years.

Bayern Munich is a German juggernaut which hasn’t won the CL since 2013, but has dominated everyone throughout the competition and everyone in Germany last season. They’ve scored 42 goals and won all 10 Champions League matches this season, taking apart Tottenham, Chelsea, Barcelona and Lyon in the process.

Paris St.-Germain has never won the CL, but they feature the two best players in the world not named Lionel Messi in Neymar and Kylian Mbappe.

While all of the focus on both teams will be on the star attackers, both teams have shown significant cracks in their last few matches that the other team is actually perfectly positioned to exploit.

For Bayern, their high-pressing, high back-line approach leaves them vulnerable to balls over the top and balls into space behind the two fullbacks — two positions that Mbappe will use his pace and skill to get into.

Even though both lost to Bayern, Barcelona and Lyon had plenty of success getting in behind and exploiting the defensive liability of Joshua Kimmich at right back, combined with the lack of pace from center back Jerome Boateng.

If Bayern aren’t careful, they could get ripped open by Neymar feeding Mbappe after dropping between the midfielders and back line.

On the other side, PSG has looked most vulnerable when its back line has been under pressure. Both Atalanta and RB Leipzig were able to press and turn over les Parisiens.

For 25 minutes, Atalanta smothered PSG and left them unable to progressively pass, while Leipzig generated two high xG scoring chances by pressing PSG into giveaways.

There’s perhaps no better pressing and counter-pressing team in the world than Bayern, and manager Hansi Flick will be sure to exploit the PSG weaknesses at full back with plenty of Alphonso Davies overlapping runs up the left side and Serge Gnabry wreaking havoc up the right.

I project 4.17 goals in this match, and I will absolutely take over 3.5 goals at even money. I agree with BJ that not only is there far too much attacking power, but both defenses are vulnerable to the abilities of the other.

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Jeremy Pond: Bayern Munich Over 1.5 Goals (-167)

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Bayern Munich has scored at least three goals in each of its past six Champions League matches, and I can’t see the German powerhouse not bagging at least two against Paris Saint-Germain en route to the crown.

Add in the fact that Bayern Munich has averaged a ridiculous 4.2 goals per game against European foes across all competitions, and you have to love your chances of cashing this play — especially with way Robert Lewandowski and his teammates have been consistently lighting up the opposition.

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