The Champions League round of 16 won't be played until February, but the draw has already been made and all 16 teams have been matched up with their respective opponents ahead of the first part of the knockout stage.
Barcelona will be taking on Napoli, Real Sociedad will clash with PSG, Arsenal will meet Porto and Real Madrid will contend with RB Leipzig in some of the premier matchups. Title holders Man City will be massive favorites against Copenhagen.
Read on for my expert Champions League round of 16 predictions, with projections for all matches.
Champions League Round of 16 Predictions
| Team | Projection to Advance | Team | Projection to Advance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | -140 | Napoli | +140 |
| Real Sociedad | +142 | PSG | -142 |
| Atletico Madrid | +133 | Inter Milan | -133 |
| Bayern Munich | -305 | Lazio | +305 |
| Arsenal | -290 | Porto | +290 |
| Dortmund | +102 | PSV | -102 |
| Man City | -680 | Copenhagen | +680 |
| Real Madrid | -142 | RB Leipzig | +142 |
As my numbers show, the biggest favorite of the round of 16 is Man City – and by some margin – against underdog side Copenhagen. My projections have them at -680.
Bayern Munich come in second with a -305 number against a struggling Lazio side.
The tightest fixture of the round comes between Dortmund and PSV, as my projections make PSV a mere -102 favorite against the German club. That's a 50.5% implied probability. You may as well flip a coin on this fixture.
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