We've reached the quarterfinals of the Euro 2020 tournament. And boy, was the Round of 16 filled with an insane amount of drama.
In case you missed them or want to relive the moments, here is a quick recap of the Round of 16 matches:
- Denmark routed Wales, 4-0, behind two goals from Kasper Dolberg to continue one of the best comeback stories of the tournament.
- Italy was pushed to the brink by Austria, needing extra time in a 2-1 win.
- The Czech Republic pulled off a massive upset, beating the Netherlands, 2-0, after star Dutch defender Matthjis de Ligt was sent off in the 55th minute.
PATRIK SCHICK PUTS THE CZECHS UP 2-0!
It’s his 4th goal of the tournament.pic.twitter.com/zAiDNfkNll
— The Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) June 27, 2021
- Belgium earned a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Cristiano Ronaldo and Portugal, knocking the 2016 Euro champion out of the tournament.
- Spain and Croatia played an eight-goal thriller, with La Furia Roja moving on with a 5-3 overtime triumph. The Croatians rallied in that match, erasing a two-goal deficit in a seven-minute span to force overtime.
To extra time we go…pic.twitter.com/UeKAuJGakW
— The Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) June 28, 2021
- 2018 World Cup champions France was sent home by Switzerland after blowing a 3-1 second-half lead, then eventually losing on penalties when star player Kylian Mbappé missed the fifth and final kick in the upset.
SOMMER STONEWALLS MBAPPE!
Switzerland is moving on to the Quarterfinals! 🇨🇭 pic.twitter.com/srFX5ZXMBe
— The Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) June 28, 2021
- England exercised some demons against rival Germany, scoring two goals in the final 15 minutes to earn a 2-0 shutout and send Wembley Stadium into absolute pandemonium.
HARRY KANE MAKES IT TWO NIL
PARTY TIME IN ENGLAND 🏴 pic.twitter.com/OPbuiJeWch
— The Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) June 29, 2021
- Ukraine outlasted Sweden in extra time, picking up a thrilling 2-1 win via a goal in the 120th minute to send vaulted the underdog into the quarterfinal round.
UKRAINE TAKES THE LEAD IN THE DYING MINUTES OF EXTRA TIME 😳
They're moving on to the Quarterfinals!pic.twitter.com/4eA7Pscc2u
— The Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) June 29, 2021
Before we jump into the projections, let's take a look at where the future odds are sitting to win the tournament.
Euro 2020 Betting Odds
Odds via DraftKings
| TEAM | ODDS |
|---|---|
| England | +200 |
| Spain | +335 |
| Italy | +360 |
| Belgium | +700 |
| Denmark | +950 |
| Czech Republic | +2400 |
| Switzerland | +2400 |
| Ukraine | +3300 |
With France eliminated, England is now the favorite to win the tournament. So, that means oddsmakers believe football is most likely "coming home."
Spain and Italy are the next two on the board, as both sizable favorites to advance to the semifinal round on the left side of the bracket. Belgium, who will be without Kevin de Bruyne and Eden Hazard for their Round of 16 match, and Denmark, which could potentially pull off one of the greatest comeback stories in tournament history at +950 odds, round out the top-5 nations.
Finally, you have the three longshots in Czech Republic, Switzerland and Ukraine, all of whom are sitting at +2400 or above on the board.
Now, without further ado, let's get into the projections for the quarterfinal-round matches. If you'd like to read more about how I determine my projections, you can check them out here.
