France vs Poland Odds, France-Poland Picks
| France Odds | -350 |
| Poland Odds | +900 |
| Draw | +475 |
| Over / Under | 2.5 -120 / +100 |
For their final group game in Group C, France and Poland will be squaring off. France are looking to maintain or improve their second place position in the table, while Poland will be playing this game like it’s their last, because it will be!
France are about where most predicted they would be, lossless and looking to advance to the knockout stage after a 1-0 victory over Austria and a 0-0 stalemate against the Netherlands. The confidence that France and their supporters will have entering this match have been put on hold as star forward Kylian Mbappe broke his nose against Austria.
Poland find themselves without a point after losing 1-2 against the Dutch and 1-3 against Austria. Playing for absolutely nothing, Poland will look to put the fear of the underdog into a French team looking to improve for their pedestrian results in the group stage.
Let’s take a look at my preview for France vs Poland. And for more, check out our full Tuesday Euro 2024 match projections.
France Picks
In their previous match, France and the Netherlands participated in a fairly action-packed affair, ultimately resulting in a goalless draw. The French are no strangers to scoring goals and creating chances, and this lack of execution in their last game for France could be a side-effect of not having Kylian Mbappe in the starting 11.
His status is still uncertain and will likely be decided close to kickoff, recovering from a broken nose he suffered in France’s opening match against Austria. A lack of Kylian Mbappe on a team that’s used to relying on him is sure to experience some change and not appear the same. Fortunately for France, they do not have a shortage of elite players that are more than equipped to excel in their role as they advance into the ongoing European Championship.
One player whose role was elevated due to Mbappe’s absence was Adrien Rabiot. Rabiot appeared to be playing more on the outside in a more attacking role compared to his midfield counterparts, Aurelien Tchouameni and N’Golo Kante. Rabiot’s biggest chance came in the early stages, making a questionable decision in front of goal and opting not to shoot but instead to lay it off to his teammate Antoine Griezmann.
If asked to perform the same tasks in this upcoming match against Poland, France’s biggest weakness could be the lack of an attacking option on Rabiot’s side of the pitch. Thankfully, Theo Hernandez’s quality as a left-back is more than enough to compensate for the lack of attacking force on his end of the field, as he is just as skilled going forward, if not more, as he is at defending.
Poland Picks
Entering this match, Poland are the only team in the tournament that have failed to secure a point in their first two games and are the only team to be eliminated without needing to play a third game. Playing in arguably the toughest group in the tournament, it isn’t a huge surprise to see Poland’s current situation, being handed losses by the Netherlands 1-2 and Austria 1-3. France won their opening game against Austria.
World class striker Robert Lewandowski has only seen roughly thirty minutes of game time in this tournament. He has been sidelined with a thigh injury in Poland’s first match and made a 60th minute substitution appearance in their previous match. Poland haven't really been able to find their footing, seeming to rely on how long they're able to hang with their opponents before playing from behind, which is where mistakes arise.
One positive aspect of their game has come from set pieces. Their goal against the Dutch came from a corner of the head of Adam Buksa, who has proven his resiliency by replacing one of the greatest strikers in the world. With nothing to play for, Poland are actually set up for an interesting scenario entering this match. They have the opportunity to put a huge strain on France’s morale for the rest of the tournament as they will most likely be heading to the knockout stage, barring a miracle in the final game.
France vs Poland
Prediction
When considering France vs. Poland predictions, it’s clear that both teams have a lot at stake, making the analysis and forecasts for this match particularly intriguing.
France need to have a strong performance to prove to their fans and even to themselves that they live up to their astronomical expectations. A good place to start would be scoring a goal that the other team didn’t score for them. I have a feeling France will want to get off to a hot start early on and try to hold off Poland for the remainder of the match.
Poland will look to leave everything they have on the field and look to take as many positives away from this match, in hopes to forget about their failure to qualify for the knockout stage. One bet that would satisfy both of these narratives would be the 1st half over 1.5 goals at +140.
With France’s desire to get things going early and Poland’s pride on the line, we could very well see a little chaos in this match — likely in the first half.
