Germany vs Hungary Odds, Pick: How to Bet Wednesday’s Euro Showdown

Wednesday, June 19

12 p.m. ET

FS1

Germany Odds	-400
Hungary Odds	+1000
Draw	+525
Over / Under	2.5  -200o / +162u

Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here.

It's time to take a look at the Germany vs. Hungary odds and make a pick in our Euro betting preview for Wednesday, June 19.

Germany looks keep the positive momentum going when they take on Hungary on Wednesday.

The host nation was the most impressive team of the first round of the Group Stage while beating Scotland 5-1. Germany put everyone on notice that maybe they should be the favorites to take home the Euro title. They will play a very similar team to Scotland in Hungary, so we could be in for another route.

Hungary were thoroughly beaten by Switzerland in their first match, leaving them desperate for three points here against Germany. They were one of the dark horses picked by many but fell flat on their face when their tactical plan did not work. Marco Rossi now faces an incredibly tall task of trying to slow down the host nation and get Hungary a result from this match.

Germany

Germany was sublime against Scotland last Friday with Julian Nagelsmann devising the perfect tactical plan to breakdown Scotland's low block. Germany showed why they are so difficult to beat with a passive structure. If opponents allow Toni Kroos to easily pick out passes in build, especially with the versatility of all of Germany's attackers, then they will get ripped apart.

Germany also showed not only how great they are in attack, but also how strong they are defensively. Even though Scotland did score, it came on an own goal, and they did not even register an official shot for the match.

Germany's amazing transition defense and center-back pairing of Jonathan Tah and Antonio Rüdiger are so good at winning both ground and aerial duels against teams that primarily play long balls, which is what Hungary will do against them.

They can absolutely repeat the exact same tactical plan against Hungary, which should allow Kroos to pick out passes and find all of Germany's great attacking in between the lines or make runs off of the back line.

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Hungary

The main problem with Hungary, as you saw against Switzerland, is that when opponents get them into a negative game state and they can’t just sit back, they really struggle defensively.

Their attempt at pressing Switzerland’s build up after they went down a goal inside the first 10 minutes was downright horrible. It looked a lot like the pressing structure from Manchester United over the second half of the Premier League season where the attackers would try to press, but the back line wouldn’t come up to aid in the press.

Consequently, once the first line of pressure was beaten, Switzerland had acres of space to run at Hungary’s back line.

The other problem with Hungary is that even if they do sit in their 5-3-2, they will run into the same problems that Scotland had. The space between the lines is where Germany thrived against Scotland. Kai Havertz and Jamal Musiala were constantly dropping deep and pulling Scotland’s center backs up into an uncomfortable position, which left vacated space in behind that Germany exploited.

They also utilized width with their full backs to force Scotland to either defend them and have a numerical advantage in the center of the pitch in between the lines, or if Scotland didn’t defend them, then they would have a free unmarked pass into the box, which is exactly how the first goal happened.

Germany vs Hungary

Prediction

As Germany and Nagelsmann showed in the first match, they are probably the best team in this tournament at manipulating low blocks and creating space because of their passing and positioning.

Since Hungary lost their first match, they will be very desperate. If Hungary falls behind, they can’t sit back and are going to have to press Germany, which will allow the Germans ample opportunities to score.

This match has real potential to get out of hand if Germany takes a lead because of how bad Hungary are when they are in a negative game state.

I have Germany’s Team Total projected at 2.46, so I like the value on Over 2.5 at +122 at FanDuel.

Pick: Germany Team Total Over 2.5 (+122 via FanDuel)