Leeds United vs Crystal Palace Odds
Leeds United Odds | +110 |
Crystal Palace Odds | +260 |
| Draw | +240 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (+110 / -138) |
| Both Teams to Score (Yes/No) | (-106 / -125) |
| Odds via bet365. Get the latest soccer odds here. | |
Leeds United host Crystal Palace at Elland Road on Sunday for a match between two Premier League clubs fighting to stay out of the relegation zone.
The Peacocks enter the match in 13th with only two points between them and the bottom three.
Meanwhile, Palace are one point and a spot above their opponents following a change at manager at the club.
With all of the changes for both teams, this is a difficult game to predict, but I do expect to be cagey based on their positions in the league table.
Leeds United in Flux
Since the hiring of Javi Garcia at manager late in February, the club has seen the manager bounce that the owners would have hoped for, picking up three wins and a draw in his first six matches in charge.
This includes an unbeaten record at home during his short stint – as they beat Southampton and Nottingham Forest to go with a draw against Brighton.
It will be the home form that keeps Leeds in the English top flight, which makes this fixture even more important for the club.
Unfortunately, United States Men's National Team captain Tyler Adams will likely be sidelined with an injury for this match, but Garcia should be able to call on his striker duo of Rodrigo and Patrick Bamford for this pivotal game.
Crystal Palace Guided By Familiar Face
After leaving the club following the 2020-21 campaign, manager Roy Hodgson made his return to Crystal Palace with a 2-1 victory over Leicester City in the last match.
It is pretty clear what his objective is, which is to keep the club in the top division for another season.
If you don’t remember how Hodgson liked to set his team up, it always started with a strong defense to go with a very rigid attack. I expect him to bring this approach back to the club, especially without his key attacker.
Ivory Coast star Wilfried Zaha picked up an injury in that previous victory, sidelining him for three weeks. He should make a return at some point this season, but the team may struggle to consistently pose a goal threat without him.
Leeds United vs Crystal Palace Pick
This wouldn’t be my favorite game to try and attack from a betting perspective on the board this weekend, but I do believe there is some value in a low-scoring match.
With that said, my best bet is for the total to fall under 2.5 at -138.
If you look at the full-season metrics, Leeds’ home games tend to have less goal action than when they are on the road. The Peacocks don’t create as many big chances while allowing fewer xG and big chances at Elland Road.
Meanwhile, this is a Palace team that is in the bottom six of the EPL in big chances and xG generated on the road this season, which won’t be aided by the fact that their best attacker is out.
Yes, you could point out that the Eagles racked up 31 shots and 2.4 xG in the first match under Hodgson. On the flip side, I would counter that the team could only generate two goals with that many chances.
Another interesting angle is for this match to be a draw at halftime (+105). Only Chelsea have as many games heading into the break tied as Leeds (15) and Palace (16).
You also have two managers that prefer more pragmatic, low-event matches that could lead to a slower start. However, I think it helps us more on the total in a game that shouldn’t see many goals.
