There's some midweek Premier League soccer this week and we've got you a Newcastle vs. Liverpool prediction with a best bet.
The Reds are currently enjoying a stellar start to the season and keep on passing any test on their schedule with flying colors. A convincing 2-0 win over Manchester City at the weekend followed another 2-0 win over Real Madrid a week ago. Liverpool are the best team in Europe at the moment and seem unstoppable.
Against them stands Newcastle United, who have had more mixed fortunes so far. The Magpies sit in midtable and alternate between convincing wins and disappointing collapses. The team has struggled to get it going on the offensive end and has the mighty task of trying to score on Liverpool's league-leading defense.
Here are my Newcastle vs. Liverpool prediction and Premier League odds for tonight's match.
Newcastle vs. Liverpool Prediction, Pick, Odds
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -138 | 2.5 -163o / 130u | -138 |
| Newcastle Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +107 | 2.5 -163o / 130u | +333 |
- Newcastle vs. Liverpool moneyline odds: Liverpool -138, Draw +300, Newcastle +333
- Newcastle vs. Liverpool over/under: 2.5 Goals (Over -163, Under 130)
- Newcastle vs. Liverpool pick: Liverpool To Win & Both Teams To Score – No
I am backing Liverpool To Win and Not Concede in the Newcastle vs. Liverpool match.
Liverpool Prediction
Liverpool continues to solidify their status as the team to beat in the Premier League, coming off a dominant 2-0 win over Manchester City. The victory extended their lead to 11 points over City and 9 points over Arsenal and Chelsea. Mo Salah’s influence remains undeniable; he has been involved in 14 goals in his last 13 games against Newcastle, and his pinpoint assist for Cody Gakpo against City highlighted his creative prowess. Salah, Gakpo, and Luis Díaz all now boast double-digit goal contributions this season, showing Liverpool’s attacking depth.
Defensively, Liverpool’s record is unmatched. They’ve conceded just eight goals in 13 league games, the fewest in Europe’s top five leagues. Their 11.6 xG allowed is also a league best, with opponents converting chances against them at the lowest rate in the Premier League. Even without Alisson, Caoimhín Kelleher has seamlessly stepped in, ensuring the Reds maintain their defensive resilience.
In midfield, Alexis Mac Allister’s composed play and defensive contributions complement Ryan Gravenberch’s dominant performances as a defensive midfielder. Gravenberch leads the league in recoveries (75) and ranks second in interceptions (24), making him instrumental in breaking up opposition attacks.
At the back, Virgil van Dijk has been imperious, with his commanding performance against City (3 interceptions, 7 clearances) setting the tone for Liverpool’s defensive stability. Trent Alexander-Arnold is always under scrutiny for his defensive efforts but has been more active on that end under Arne Slot. The right-back has been averaging 3.3 tackles per 90 minutes in the Premier League, more than double his 1.6 in 2023-24.
Newcastle Prediction
Newcastle finds themselves in a challenging position ahead of this midweek clash against league leaders Liverpool. Winless in their last 15 Premier League meetings with the Reds—and losing the last six in a row—Eddie Howe’s side have the odds stacked against them. Recent form hasn’t helped matters, with a disappointing 2-0 home defeat to West Ham followed by a 1-1 draw against Crystal Palace where they managed just one shot (none on target).
Adding to their woes, star striker Alexander Isak is sidelined with a hip injury, leaving Callum Wilson to lead the line. Newcastle’s attack has been misfiring, managing just one goal in their last three home games, a stark contrast to their previous run of scoring in 22 consecutive fixtures at St. James’ Park. Howe himself has never beaten a Premier League leader in 12 attempts (D2, L10), admitting his side looked “low on confidence” after conceding a stoppage-time equalizer to Palace.
Newcastle will need to score if they want to stand a chance against Liverpool and that may prove very difficult. Their midfield is a strength and will likely feature both Bruno Guimaraes and Sandro Tonali, two very good midfielders with a big engine and great passing skills.
Their offensive output is sometimes lacking and there has been an overreliance on Newcastle forwards to make differences on their own. Harvey Barnes has had a strong start to the season, with four goals in the league, but more is needed from Anthony Gordon who has failed to replicate last season's form.
Newcastle vs. Liverpool Prediction
A struggling Newcastle against an in-form Liverpool means the Reds are likely to extend their winning streak. Eddie Howe’s men have managed just one goal in their last three home fixtures and appear low on confidence after recent results. Their last performances against Crystal Palace and West Ham make me think they'll struggle to even approach Liverpool's goal, yet alone score.
The game is played at St James' Park, Newcastle has had some good results this season at home, most notably a 1-0 win over Arsenal, but has also lost to Brighton, Chelsea, Fulham and West Ham. I see Liverpool taking this one away. Arne Slot's men are in full steam and show no signs of slowing down. Anything but a Liverpool win here would be a poor result for them.
Newcastle vs. Liverpool Pick: Liverpool To Win & Both Teams To Score – N0 (+248 on Fanduel)
