Sunday Premier League Odds & Betting Picks: Everton vs. Tottenham Hotspur Preview (Sept. 13)

EPL: Everton vs Tottenham Odds

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Carlo Ancelotti and the Toffees travel to Tottenham Hotspur Sunday to open their season. Both clubs have aspirations to reach the top six this season as they look to improve on disappointing years. It will be interesting to see who prevails in this chess match between two veteran managers.

Everton

Ancelotti was brought into the club in December to help turn it around. He won three Scudettos and two Champions League trophies in his past. He's looked upon highly in the soccer community and was a good pick up for Everton. Since he joined, the Toffees picked up 30 points over 21 games. It started out well and tailed off.

The club had a successful transfer window, with Real Madrid's James Rodriguez being the big name. They also signed two quality defenders and Allan in the midfield. Everton is viewed as one of the mid-table teams that could possibly take a leap this season. However, I think it might take some time for the new players and the existing squad to gel, so I'm going to wait and see for now. Before I even looked into the data, I knew I would be on the total and not a side in this game. Since the restart, Everton games averaged 2.12 xG/game relative to their season-long data of 2.71. I think we could see Ancelotti manage for a point rather than the full three.

Tottenham

Jose Mourinho was also brought in to turn Tottenham around and had more success than Ancelotti. Since the restart, the Spurs tallied the fourth-most points in the EPL. The style is boring to watch and can't be fun to play, but Mourinho's track record speaks for itself.

Tottenham had a quieter transfer window, but I do like its additions. Its total xG in its games are eerily similar to Everton's, with 2.10 xG/game since the restart and 2.71 throughout the season. I'll say I'm higher on the Spurs than I am on Everton. I think they have quality players and the manager to make the top six comfortably. Mourinho's second year has usually been a good one at his previous clubs, and I will be backing them as the season goes along.

These two teams played back on July 6, and I think I fell asleep in the 60th minute. There was a combined 0.91 xG. Both clubs played defensively and both managers were clearly happy to grab a point. The result did not surprise me. Mourinho loves nothing more than a 1-0 victory, and Carlo is not overly aggressive in his style of soccer. I will be betting the under 2.5 in this game. I lean Tottenham and might play it, but the strong play is the under.

Pick: Under 2.5 (-117), Lean Tottenham (-110)

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