Leicester City vs. Arsenal Odds
| Leicester City Odds | +150 |
| Arsenal Odds | +185 |
| Draw | +250 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-120 / +100) |
| Day | Time | Saturday | 7:30 a.m. ET |
| How To Watch | NBCSN | fuboTV |
| Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here. | |
Leicester City look to keep their hot run of form going when they host Arsenal at the King Power stadium on Saturday morning.
The Foxes have won four straight in all competitions and really turned a corner offensively, scoring 12 goals in those matches. Leicester are currently sitting in ninth place with 14 points in their first nine matches after narrowly missing out on the top four the previous two seasons. A win would move the Foxes up to fifth in the table before the rest of the league kicks off.
After a really bad start to their Premier League campaign, Arsenal have turned things around going unbeaten in their last six matches. Mikel Arteta has the Gunners in the top half of the table and level on points with Leicester, Everton and Manchester United. A win would be a big boost to Arsenal's ambition of returning to European play next season.
Leicester City Thriving Behind Iheanacho, Daka
Leicester have turned a corner on offense. Since a loss to Brighton & Hove Albion in mid-September, the club has created 7.17 expected goals (xG) in their last four matches against Burnley, Crystal Palace, Manchester United and Brentford.
Jamie Vardy will be out for this match, but I don’t think that matters too much anymore since the Foxes have depth at the striker position with Kelechi Iheanacho and Patson Daka. Iheanacho is averaging 0.59 expected goals and assists in nine appearances and Daka has been instant offense. He has only played 73 minutes in the English top flight but in that limited time, he has 1.22 xG and 1.09 xAssists, per Understat.
Defense is still an issue for Leicester, though. Brentford beat them on xG when the Foxes won 2-1 on Sunday, but the Bees didn't register a shot worth more than 0.13 xG outside of big chances created in the third minute.
(Graphic via infogol.net)
That is encouraging for the Foxes, who should be able to contain the Arsenal attack.
Improved Arsenal Facing Difficult Test
Arsenal are starting to look much better than the team we saw get crushed by Manchester City and Chelsea early in the season. The Gunners dominated Aston Villa in their last league match, but they do have some injury and illness issues entering this match.
Ben White was subbed off with an illness in the Carabao Cup on Tuesday against Leeds United, plus Martin Odegaard and Kieran Tierney are both questionable to play.
Offensively, Arsenal have greatly improved. Since their loss to Manchester City, the Gunners have created 9.39 xG in six matches. That said, they should be able to penetrate a Leicester backline at times, although Arsenal’s defense overall this season is not good, allowing 1.71 non-penalty xG per match.
Going up against one of the hottest offenses in the league potentially without White and Tierney is a bad matchup for Arsenal.
Betting Analysis & Pick
I have Leicester projected at +117, so I think there's value on their Draw No Bet line at -125 and would play it up to -130 odds.
Pick: Leicester — Draw No Bet (-125)
