Soccer returns to the domestic forefront this weekend, with leagues back in action following another busy international break. And with that being the situation, our featured two-team parlay jumps back into the fray.
Soccer handicappers Jeremy Pond and Matthew Trebby have returned with another interesting wager on Saturday's solid Premier League slate, with both feeling optimistic they can connect on another winner. They're focused on matches featuring Leicester City vs. Manchester United and Norwich City vs. Brighton & Hove Albion for the wager.
Check out their in-depth analysis and betting angles, plus what kind of price they're getting on the parlay at DraftKings ahead of the latest contests.
Leicester City vs. Man United
Leicester City Odds | +245 |
Man United Odds | +110 |
Draw | +260 |
Over/Under | 2.5 (-140 / +115) |
Day | Time | Saturday | 10 a.m. ET |
How To Watch | USA Network | fuboTV |
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here. |
Jeremy Pond: This confrontation at King Power Stadium has all the makings of being a wild affair. Neither club was in form prior to the international break, with Manchester United and Leicester City combining to go winless in their last four league matches.
The Foxes have defined mediocre thus far, winning just two of their seven games in the English top flight entering the tussle with the Red Devils. When it comes to advanced metrics, they're one of the worst in expected goals against (11.5) due to their inability to defend and stymie the opposition's offenses.
As for Manchester United, everything isn't what it seems. Sure, the Red Devils sit in fourth place and just two points behind Chelsea, but the fade is on. They enter this game off a 1-1 draw with Everton, which was preceded by an 1-0 loss to Aston Villa at Old Trafford. The Red Devils have also lost the xG battle in five of nine overall games where where the statistic was kept.
That said, I'm backing the total to go over 2.5 goals at -140 odds via DraftKings and will make it my top pick on the ticket. There have been at least three goals in five of Leicester City's last six league fixtures, plus the total has surpassed 2.5 goals in its last three clashes overall with the visitors. The Foxes have also scored at least two goals in their last three games against the Red Devils.
Throw in the fact our colleague, BJ Cunningham, has this affair pegged at 2.70 expected goals as a small bonus piece of support for this angle and I like our chances even more in connecting on this leg of the parlay.
If you're looking for some more action, take a swing on Both Teams To Score — Yes and the Total Over 2.5 Goals at -105 odds via BetMGM as well. I jumped on that play earlier in the week and love getting that extra juice on the wager.
Pond's Pick: Total Over 2.5 Goals (-140)
Norwich City vs. Brighton Odds
Norwich City Odds | +270 |
Brighton Odds | +105 |
Draw | +240 |
Over/Under | 2.5 (+110 / -130) |
Day | Time | Saturday | 10 a.m. ET |
How To Watch | Peacock Premium |
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here. |
Matthew Trebby: I'm going to take every chance I can to fade Norwich City this season at a reasonable price, and this weekend presents one of them.
You name the metric, whether it's goals scored or expected-goal difference, and Norwich City is probably last in the Premier League in it. The Canaries got their first point of the season in their last match before the international break, a 0-0 draw at Burnley in a matchup between two relegation contenders.
Norwich's return might be back at Carrow Road, but the opposition is much stronger. Brighton & Hove Albion have gotten off to a great start to the season, registering 14 points through seven games. The Seagulls' advanced metrics aren't as good as last season, but the most important thing is they're getting results.
Another reason to believe in Brighton is that the club has taken seven points from three away matches to start the season, winning at Burnley and Brentford before getting a late point against Crystal Palace.
Any chance to fade Norwich at a plus number, we have to take it. That's what we have here with Brighton.
Trebby's Pick: Brighton ML (+105)
Pond & Trebby Parlay
Leicester vs. Man United — Total Over 2.5 Goals (-140) & Brighton ML(+105) at +251 odds via DraftKings