Premier League Predictions & Odds: Best Bets for Everton vs Aston Villa, Man United vs Tottenham

Premier League Predictions & Odds: Best Bets for Everton vs Aston Villa, Man United vs Tottenham article feature image
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Here's everything you need to know about Premier League predictions and odds on Sunday, Jan. 14 — our expert best bets for Everton vs Aston Villa and Man United vs Tottenham.

The Premier League returns from the FA Cup break with a five match slate, but there are two huge matches with Newcastle hosting Manchester City and Manchester United hosting Tottenham

BJ Cunningham and Anthony Dabbundo are here to take you through the upcoming matches and offer up their best bets on the slate.

Cunningham and Dabbundo, who are part of the Wondergoal podcast crew, will be guiding you on the weekend Premier League fixtures and delivering their favorite picks along the way.

If you'd like to see picks from Cunningham and Dabbundo during the season for all UCL action and all five European leagues, follow them in the Action Network App.

If you'd like to see our projections for the Premier League matches and a number of other leagues, you can find them here.

Here are our weekend Premier League odds & predictions.

Premier League Odds & Predictions

Sunday, Jan. 14th
9 a.m. ET
USA Network
Everton Odds+180
Aston Villa Odds+145
Draw+250
Over / Under
2.5
 -138 / +107
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here.

Sign up with Action's bonus code for bet365 to get $365 in bonus bets for all the upcoming soccer matches!

Dabbundo: Aston Villa try to condense the space in midfield and make it difficult for teams to play through them. It forces teams to try to beat their extremely high line and overcome the offside trap. No team in the Premier League has forced teams offside more than Unai Emery’s side. Facing an Everton side that is one of the most direct, long ball teams in the Premier League, the Toffees won’t even try to play through the tight midfield spaces and instead can launch dangerous attacks over the top.

Aston Villa’s defense away from home has been quite alarming relative to the rest of their overall profile. The Villans are conceding 1.6 xGA per match on their travels, which ranks 11th in the league. If you strip away penalty and red card luck and only control for open play, 11-on-11 metrics, Everton actually have better underlying numbers than Villa. Everton are +0.37 npxG per 90, while Villa sit marginally worse at +0.21 npxG per 90.

The Toffees have lost three consecutive matches to Spurs, Manchester City and Wolves, and the market has bumped Everton down a bit in its market rating as a result. These two sides have met twice already — Villa thrashed them early in the league and Everton won an EFL Cup match at Goodison Park.

I have this lined as a true toss-up and thus would bet anything plus money on Everton draw no bet.

Pick: Everton – Draw No Bet (+107 via bet365

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Sunday, Jan. 14th
11:30 a.m. ET
USA Network
Manchester United Odds+115
Tottenham Odds+210
Draw+280
Over / Under
2.5
 -250 / +187
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here.

Cunningham: Because of injuries Manchester United haven't been able to play the style they want, which means they have to play much more transitional than they would like. Essentially what is happening is because Manchester United can't build out of back with a lot of success, so they are utilizing a 3-1-6 build up structure and sending the ball from the center backs up to the forward line in hope of winning aerial duals. For this match, because Amrabat is off to represent Morocco at the Africa Cup of Nations, Ten Hag is going to be forced to either play 18-year old Kobbie Mainoo alongside McTominay or start Christian Eriksen. Either way it's not an ideal scenario facing a team that is going to press relentlessly like Tottenham.

The Red Devils' defense has been so bad that they have only held three of their 20 Premier League opponents under one expected goal.

Heung-Min Son is off to represent South Korea at the Asian Cup, which is a blow. Son is incredibly important to this Tottenham team because he has been their most consistent attacker this season. Son has 12 goals and is putting up a 0.70 xG + xA per 90 minute rate, which is by far the highest on the team. However, that doesn't mean the Tottenham attack is going to be completely helpless here. Brennan Johnson has been really good ever since moving over from Nottingham Forest, putting up a 0.63 xG + xA per 90 minute rate, and Richarlison is starting to find his form in front of net, scoring five goals in his last five appearances.

Tottenham have been struggling with their two starting center backs. Since November 11th when Van de Ven and Romero went down, Tottenham have allowed 19.7 expected goals in nine matches. They have been saved by Vicario's shot stopping as he leads the Premier League with a +6.7 post shot xG +/-. van de Ven is back from injury, but who knows if he actually plays a full 90 minutes here and how effective he is coming off that hamstring injury.

This has the potential to be very back and forth, without much ball possessors in the either midfield, so I like the value on the over 3.5 at +115.

Pick:Over 3.5 (+115 via BetRivers)

About the Author
Brad is a writer for the Action Network. He was born and raised in Iowa and will have his heart broken (again) this year thinking Iowa can win the Big Ten West. He can also be found hate watching Arsenal and the Atlanta Falcons. No 28-3 jokes please.

Follow Brad Cunningham @BJCunningham22 on Twitter/X.

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