Real Madrid celebrated in style after advancing to the Champions League Round of 16 by eliminating Manchester City. However, they must now shift their focus back to LaLiga. Regaining the top spot is the goal, and to do so, they need a home victory against Girona.
With no room for error in the final stretch of the season, this match will be crucial. Kick-off at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium will be on Sunday, February 23, at 10:15 a.m. ET.
Here is my Real Madrid vs. Girona prediction and LaLiga odds for today's match.
Girona vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Pick, Odds
| Girona Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +105 | 3.5 -110o / -115u | +700 |
| Real Madrid Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -130 | 3.5 -110o / -115u | -370 |
- Real Madrid vs. Girona moneyline odds: Real Madrid -370, Draw +475, Girona +700
- Real Madrid vs. Girona over/under: 3.5 Goals (Over -115, Under -115)
- Real Madrid vs. Girona pick: Real Madrid moneyline, over 3.5 goals and Kylian Mbappé anytime scorer.
I am backing Real Madrid to win, over 3.5 goals and Mbappé to score in the Real Madrid vs. Girona match.
Real Madrid Prediction
Eliminating Manchester City brought plenty of positives for Real Madrid. It reaffirmed them as favorites to win the Champions League, dispelled any doubts about Kylian Mbappé’s offensive firepower—he scored four goals in the series—and showcased defensive solidity, despite ongoing injury struggles.
However, the energy spent advancing in Europe, where they will now face city rivals Atlético de Madrid, has taken a toll on their domestic campaign. Madrid hasn’t won in their last three league matches, recording one loss and two draws, allowing Barcelona and Atlético Madrid to climb to the top of the table.
With the need to manage workloads, coach Carlo Ancelotti has some good news: Lucas Vázquez has recovered and will likely return to the right-back position, giving Federico Valverde some rest. Antonio Rüdiger and David Alaba, both recently returning from muscle injuries, got minutes against City and could be back in the starting lineup on Sunday.
One major absence for the Girona clash will be Jude Bellingham, suspended for two matches after his red card against Osasuna last week. Ancelotti is expected to rotate at least one of his three attacking stars—Mbappé, Vinícius Júnior, and Rodrygo—while Ferland Mendy and Dani Ceballos may also be given a break.
Girona Prediction
After being eliminated in the Champions League group stage—marking their debut in Europe’s top club competition—Girona faces the remainder of the season with little pressure. Sitting 11th in the league standings, their best-case scenario seems to be securing a sixth-place finish and qualifying for the UEFA Conference League.
Without the star players who made them last season’s biggest surprise by finishing third, Girona’s new arrivals haven’t had the same impact. Forwards Yáser Asprilla and Abel Ruiz, along with experienced signings like Bryan Gil, Donny van de Beek, and Oriol Romeu, are among those trying to fill the void in this transitional phase.
"I prepare for this match without looking at the standings—just thinking about the challenge ahead," said coach Míchel ahead of the big game at the Santiago Bernabéu. The only confirmed absence is midfielder Yangel Herrera, who is suspended after being sent off against Getafe.
There’s an added layer of motivation for Girona: a chance for double revenge. The club is part of the City Football Group, the same ownership as Manchester City, meaning they’ll be eager to take down the team that eliminated their parent club from the Champions League. Additionally, Girona suffered a crushing 4-0 defeat at the Bernabéu last season, a loss that ended their hopes of becoming an unexpected title contender.
Real Madrid vs. Girona Prediction
Despite not being at their absolute best, Real Madrid remains dominant at home. This season, the only teams that have managed to take points at the Bernabéu are Barcelona (0-4) and Atlético de Madrid (1-1). With the motivation of a Champions League victory and the chance to reclaim the top spot in LaLiga, they are expected to come out strong from the start.
On the other hand, Girona is far from their peak form. Over their last 15 matches across all competitions, they have won just three and have conceded more goals than they have scored (32 goals for, 35 against).
Madrid should have the upper hand in this encounter. With the moneyline at -370 for a home victory, betting only on that outcome feels unappealing. The best way to take advantage of this match is to combine three picks for a +170 SGP (DraftKings).
Real vs. Madrid Parlay Picks:
- Real Madrid ML (-370)
- Over 3.5 goals (-110)
- Mbappé anytime scorer (-165)
Parlay Payout: +170 (DraftKings)
