Real Madrid has reached the Champions League Round of 16 and sits atop LaLiga alongside Barcelona, but they are also pursuing the Copa del Rey. True to their history of competing on all fronts, they will face the always-tough Real Sociedad in the semifinals.
The first leg of this two-match series will take place in San Sebastián, with the return leg set for April 1 in Madrid. Kickoff at Anoeta Stadium is scheduled for Wednesday, February 26, at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Here is my Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid pick and Copa del Rey odds for today's match.
Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Pick, Copa del Rey Odds
| Real Sociedad Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -115 | 2.5 -125o / -105u | +295 |
| Real Madrid Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -120 | 2.5 -125o / -105u | -110 |
- Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid moneyline odds: Real Sociedad +295, Draw +265, Real Madrid -110
- Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid over/under: 2.5 goals (-125o/+100u)
- Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid pick: Real Madrid ML and under 2.5 goals
I am backing Real Madrid to win and under 2.5 goals in the Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid match.
Real Sociedad Prediction
Real Sociedad is entering a defining 15-day stretch that will shape the remainder of its season. This period begins with its Copa del Rey semifinal against Real Madrid, as it chases its third title, having last won it in 2020.
Next Sunday, they will travel to play Barcelona for a key LaLiga clash, where they currently sit in eighth place, just one point away from a Conference League spot. Then, on March 6, they return to Anoeta to host Manchester United in the Europa League Round of 16, with the second leg taking place in England the following week.
Given this demanding schedule, head coach Imanol Alguacil rested several regular starters in last Sunday’s comfortable 3-0 victory over Leganés. One key player who did not see minutes was Mikel Oyarzabal, the team’s captain and primary attacking threat ahead of the clash with Real Madrid.
Arsen Zakharyan, who remains sidelined, is the biggest injury concern for this match. However, Nayef Aguerd and Luka Sucic have recovered and could return, though it remains to be seen if Alguacil will risk starting them.
Real Madrid Prediction
The storm has passed, and Carlo Ancelotti’s side is in control once again. After a shaky start to the season, Los Blancos have rediscovered their form and are once again strong contenders to defend both their Champions League and LaLiga titles.
On the attacking front, the news couldn’t be better. Kylian Mbappé is playing his best football since joining the club, Vinícius Júnior is reminding us why he won FIFA’s The Best award, and Rodrygo, Jude Bellingham, and Brahim Díaz are all contributing significantly. Defensively, David Alaba and Antonio Rüdiger have recovered from injuries, leaving Federico Valverde as the only notable absentee for this match.
This revamped version of Real Madrid struggled to find its rhythm earlier in the season. Now, they appear more balanced across all lines, conceding fewer chances. And when opponents do break through, Thibaut Courtois—back to his best—remains a formidable last line of defense.
While Madrid’s main focus is undoubtedly on their Champions League Round of 16 clash against Atlético de Madrid on March 4, they are still determined to compete for the Copa del Rey, a trophy they have won 20 times, most recently in 2023.
Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid Pick
This is a tricky match to predict. While Real Madrid is the clear favorite, Real Sociedad is formidable at home. The Basque side has won 11 of their last 13 competitive home games, including their last five in a row.
Recent head-to-head history favors one side. Madrid defeated Real Sociedad 2-0 in September and 1-0 last April, both times away from home in LaLiga.
Ancelotti’s squad enters this match more fatigued, but its squad depth allows for effective rotation. While the Copa del Rey might not be their top priority, the potential for a final against either Barcelona or Atlético Madrid — who face off in the other semifinal — adds an extra layer of motivation.
With that in mind, and considering that the series will be decided next week, the best way to bet on this match is to combine two picks for a +320 SGP (DraftKings).
Real vs. Madrid Parlay Picks:
- Real Madrid ML (-120)
- Under 2.5 goals (+100)
Parlay Payout: +320 (DraftKings)
