We close out another entertaining slate of soccer matches across the European landscape with some interesting games on deck. And our handicappers have focused their attention on three affairs that comprise their best bets on the docket.
Soccer analysts Jeremy Pond, Matthew Trebby and Brett Pund unveil their top plays on the loaded card, with their selections coming from showdowns featuring Leicester City vs. Watford, RB Leipzig vs. Bayer Leverkusen and Real Madrid vs. Sevilla.
Check out below how our crew is playing these matchups and what kind of betting value they've found ahead of these exciting confrontations.
Leicester City vs. Watford
Leicester City Odds | -165 |
Watford Odds | +425 |
Draw | +330 |
Over/Under | 2.5 (-155 / +125) |
Day | Time | Sunday | 9 a.m. ET |
How To Watch | Peacock Premium |
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here |
Jeremy Pond: This is one of the most intriguing, hard-to-predict matches on the Premier League card.
Reason being, I have absolutely no idea which Watford side is going to show up at King Power Stadium. Will it be the team that was dealt a 5-0 thrashing against Liverpool or the one that delivered a 4-1 whooping to Manchester United last time out that led to Ole Gunnar Solskjaer getting sacked?
Your guess is as good as mine, but one thing's for sure in this showdown with Leicester City, which is coming off an impressive, 3-1 midweek victory over Legia Warsaw in Europa League play. We're going to see goals in this match.
The Foxes have scored at least two goals in their last four contests against the Hornets across all competitions. Yet, at the same time their defense has been anything but spectacular of late, giving up at least two goals in their last four home league fixtures. Throw in the fact Watford has to be full of confidence after its last triumph and we should see the offenses shine.
That said, I'm taking a swing on another Single Game Parlay and getting a decent price on it in the process. I'm backing both teams to score and the total to clear 2.5 goals at -105 odds via DraftKings since I truly believe this going to be a wide-open affair.
Expect manager Claudio Ranieri's return to the pitch where he led Leicester City to a shocking league title at 500-1 odds back in 2015 to be electric, with both sides looking to bag all three points.
Pond's Pick: Single Game Parlay: Both Teams To Score — Yes & Total Over 2.5 Goals (-105)
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig Odds | -125 |
Leverkusen Odds | +310 |
Draw | +320 |
Over/Under | 2.5 (-170 / +135) |
Day | Time | Sunday | 11:30 a.m. ET |
How To Watch | ESPN+ |
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here |
Matthew Trebby: We went with RB Leipzig in midweek Champions League action and got a stellar response. So, let's go back to the well this weekend.
Leipzig has created chances at a stellar rate all season in UCL and Bundesliga, ranking second domestically behind Bayern Munich in non-penalty expected goals (NPxG) thus far. The Red Bulls had been on a good run in the German top flight before last weekend's awful 2-0 loss to Hoffenheim. Jesse Marsch's team had registered more than 2.30 xG in five of its previous six games.
Meanwhile, Bayer Leverkusen is an easy team to fade. The club ended a four-match winless run in the Bundesliga last weekend by beating Bochum, but its chance creation is subpar at more than 4.5 fewer xG than Leipzig this season.
I'll back the team that's in form going forward at close to even money. Leipzig is seventh in the Bundesliga and better results are coming.
Trebby's Pick: RB Leipzig ML (-115)
Real Madrid vs. Sevilla
Real Madrid Odds | -150 |
Sevilla Odds | +400 |
Draw | +310 |
Over/Under | 2.5 (-120 / +100) |
Day | Time | Sunday | 3 p.m. ET |
How To Watch | ESPN+ |
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here. |
Brett Pund: Teams in the top three of the La Liga table square off when Real Madrid hosts Sevilla. And I think the hosts are a bit overrated in this contest.
Although I’m not necessarily loving the idea of jumping in front of Real Madrid right now, the price is too big to not back the visitors on the Asian handicap of +0.75 at -105 odds on DraftKings.
Both sides rank among the top of La Liga in multiple offensive categories, like non-penalty expected goals per match, shots per 90 minutes and big chances created. However, the clear difference in this game is the defensive advanced metrics, which is a big reason I’m backing Sevilla.
Manager Julen Lopetegui’s defense has posted the second-lowest shots against per match and big scoring chances surrendered, plus it owns the third-best non-penalty xG allowed per 90 minutes. And those are metrics Real Madrid ranks in the bottom half of the table in at the moment.
Los Blancos also had the long trip to Moldova on Wednesday for its midweek Champions League match with FC Sheriff Tiraspol, while Sevilla played Tuesday in a home match.
That said, I’ll take the squad with the better defense to keep this match within the number for my best bet.
Pund's Pick: Sevilla +0.75 (-105)