Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa open Sunday Matchweek 10 of the English Premier League. Kickoff is set for 9 a.m. ET from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London.
Tottenham come off an enthralling 2-1 home win over Manchester City in the League Cup round of 16. But Ange Postecoglou's side is still looking for the same kind of signature win in league play — unless you count a 3-0 win over a struggling Manchester United side in late September.
Villa sits above Spurs in the table but is also looking for its own statement victory in league play, with an early schedule that has offered few opportunities. Unai Emery's side failed to take their first one, losing 2-0 to Arsenal at home back in the second week of the season.
Here is my Tottenham vs. Aston Villa prediction.
Tottenham vs. Aston Villa Odds, Picks, Prediction
| Aston Villa Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -120 | 3.5 105o / -130u | +255 |
| Tottenham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -120 | 3.5 105o / -130u | -110 |
- Tottenham vs. Aston Villa moneyline odds: Tottenham -110, Draw +300, Aston Villa +255
- Tottenham vs. Aston Villa over/under: 3.5 goals (over +105, under -140)
- Tottenham vs. Aston Villa pick: Draw — Tottenham, no bet
Tottenham vs. Aston Villa Premier League Preview
The question for Villa has been whether they can avoid the fate of those like Newcastle, Manchester United and Brighton last season, who all struggled to cope with the burden of extra matches in what were long-awaited returns to European competition.
Villa has coped well so far, but their propensity to settle for draws of late does feel reminiscent of Brighton's issues about this time last year. Three of their last four games have finished even despite a relatively modest fixture list that has included Ipswich, Fulham, Manchester United and Bournemouth.
Unlike Brighton last year, Villa is pretty healthy right now, with Ross Barkley the only current injury casualty.
Spurs are also managing European competition, but the Europa League is less demanding in terms of effort and squad selection. And while Postecoglou is in only his second season at the club, it has been perennial European contenders in the last two decades. That results in a systemically deeper squad, even if it hasn't resulted in an elusive trophy domestically or in Europe.
Villa has actually been better in the league away from Villa Park. But Spurs represent the toughest away fixture so far, and perhaps Emery's group has ridden its luck a bit on its travels, outscoring away opponents 9-5 while playing to a virtually even expected goal difference.
So, with fatigue potentially building for a team with less depth, regression is due. If it doesn't lead to a Spurs win, it probably makes a draw significantly more likely than another Villa away win.
That's what I'm leveraging here, playing the draw on the "home no bet" market. You can play it directly at -110 odds and an implied 52.4% probability (remember, a Spurs win is a push), or you can simulate it yourself for odds slightly closer to even money elsewhere.
Tottenham vs. Aston Villa Prediction
My Pick: Draw, Tottenham no bet (-110, BetMGM)
