USA vs. England Betting Odds
Tuesday, July 3 at 3 p.m. ET on FOX
- To Advance: USA -200, England +170
- USA Moneyline: -115
- England Moneyline: +350
- Draw: +260
- Spread: USA -0.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (u-145)
USA and England meet in a highly anticipated Women's World Cup semifinal and USA are the odds-on favorites to both win in regulation and advance.
In the group stage the Americans swept Thailand, Chile and Sweden via shutout, then earned 2-1 wins over Spain and France in their first two elimination games.
England defeated Argentina, Japan and Scotland in the group stage and then pummeled Cameroon and Norway in the knockout rounds. Tuesday's match will be the first time they've been underdogs all tournament.
The earliest betting market compensated for USA action by listing them at -125 to win in regulation, but the majority of sportsbooks opened in the -110 range. Over the weekend odds trickled up to -115/-120 on a couple occasions but there hasn't been any significant movement otherwise.
Anything can happen over the next 24 hours, although the one sure thing is that public bettors will be pounding USA until kickoff.
More than 80% of bets and money has come in on the US moneyline/spread which has been the story of the tournament.
As we've mentioned throughout, odds can be heavily inflated at U.S.-based books due to lopsided action and futures liability on USA. In this World Cup it's been warranted to shade the public but they're still getting burned ― USA have won all five matches while covering the goal-line in four of them.
I'm pulling for USA to advance but the current prices don't offer much value and England admittedly worry me.
For what it's worth, favorites have won 38 of 48 matches in this World Cup including 8 of 12 in the knockout rounds.
USA vs. England Prop Bets
USA's Alex Morgan is the favorite for first goal-scorer in the semifinal at +350 odds, followed by Carli Lloyd (+400), Megan Rapinoe (+450) and Christen Press (+500).
It's been a captivating race for Top Goalscorer with USA teammates Alex Morgan and Megan Rapinoe tied for most goals (5) in this year’s tournament along with England’s Ellen White and Australia’s Sam Kerr.
Morgan was the pre-tournament co-favorite while White was available at 25-1. White checks in at 8-1 to score the first goal against USA and 3-1 to score anytime during the match.
Rapinoe has scored four of her goals in the last two games and is just the third player in Women's World Cup history to score at least four goals in the knockout stage. The others to do it were also USA players, Michelle Akers in 1991 (7 goals) and Carli Lloyd in 2015 (5 goals).
The most-likely scoreline for Tuesday based on the odds are USA 1-0, Draw 1-1, USA 2-0, Draw 0-0 and USA 2-1.
A penalty kick to be awarded to either team is listed at +190 odds.
A red card to be issued is +600. You can also bet on the 'no' at -1000. There have been three red cards through 48 matches in this World Cup (Australia, Nigeria, South Africa).
USA Stats and Facts
- Reached the Women’s World Cup semifinal eighth straight times and have never finished worse than third-place.
- Tied for most consecutive wins (10) and matches unbeaten (15) in tournament history, records they could break by defeating England on Tuesday.
- Lost just once in the last 43 games in all competitions.
- Set World Cup record for most goals (13) and biggest margin of victory (13) in a 13-0 win over Thailand in the opening Group F match. Also set records for most group goals (18) and group goal margin (+18) in tournament history.
- Scored within the first 12 minutes in all five games this tournament.
- Undefeated when scoring first in the World Cup all-time (35 wins, 4 draws).
- Defeated England, 3-0, in the 2011 quarterfinals, the only meeting between the teams in a Women's World Cup.
