Wolves vs Crystal Palace Odds & Prediction: A Same-Game Parlay for Saturday

Saturday, May 11

10 a.m. ET

Peacock

Wolves Odds	+220
Crystal Palace Odds	+120
Draw	+260
Over / Under	2.5  -125o / +100u

Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here.

Crystal Palace will try to continue their stunning close to the Premier League season on Saturday when they visit a Wolves side trying to finish the campaign with consecutive home victories.

The long-awaited ability to field both Eberechi Eze and Michael Olise in the same XI has resulted in Palace posting a five-match unbeaten run for new manager Oliver Glasner.

Meanwhile, Wolves might finally be getting over their own injury bug after missing their two best scorers for stretches of the winter and spring.

Palace earned a 3-2 win over Wolves at Selhurst Park back in early September in one of their final positive results before the climate turned sour around former Eagles boss Roy Hodgson.

Read on for my Wolves vs Crystal Palace prediction.

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Wolves

Wolves were virtually unbeatable at the Molineaux during the 2023 portion of the season, but a combination of regression, injuries and other absences contributed to a cooling of that trend after New Years Day.

In fact, a 2-1 home win over Luton two weekends ago halted a three-match home slide Wolves. Perhaps not coincidentally, it also marked the first time Hwang Hee-Chan scored in a league game in 2024, after a combination of the Asia Cup and injury limited him for much of the winter and early spring.

The South Korean international added a consolation tally in last weekend’s 5-1 defeat at Manchester City. But it’s hard to fault any side of Wolves’ mid-table aspirations for a blowout defeat at the Etihad when City is solely focused on winning a fourth consecutive league title after crashing out of the UEFA Champions League.

That brings Hwang's total to 12 goals, one in front of Mario Lemina for the team lead. The latter's status is uncertain after he exited at halftime with hamstring tightness against City.

One interesting trend to note: While Wolves have been a consistent attacking side at home, they’ve rarely been explosive. They’ve scored more than two goals in only one of their two home wins and only two of their 18 total home fixtures.

Crystal Palace

Glasner deserves credit for Palace’s late-season improvement, with the Eagles starting to show signs of growth before their two wingers reached full fitness again.

But it’s also about the players he's had available, and it's hard to ignore the stats when Eze and Olise are both in the Eagles’ first XI, a rare occurrence only because of injuries both have managed.

Palace are 5-2-0 (W-L-D) in seven such league games, having won five in a row. And the results have only improved over time, with the Eagles slaying Liverpool away and then routing Manchester United 4-0 at home in their last outing. 

They’ve also scored in all seven of those games and scored three goals or more in four of those.

Eze has scored five of his eight goals in games that Olise has also started, which also makes sense. When Olise isn’t on the pitch, Eze is a much easier target for defenses to restrict his dual-threat capabilities, even though Jean-Philippe Mateta leads the club with 12 goals.

But when Olise plays, he has been the Eagles' most efficient attacker, with his nine goals and four assists in 17 appearances. He’s averaging more than one goal contribution per 90 minutes.

Wolves vs Crystal Palace

Prediction

Despite the Eagles’ obvious improvement, the lurking variable in those results with Eze and Olise is that every multi-goal performance has come at home. They scored one goal in each of the two away games in which both men were involved from the start, a pattern that aligns with Palace's mediocre away form overall.

That leads me to think there's a little bit of an overreaction here in the line after that Man United drubbing, which is understandable. So while there is plenty of reason to respect Palace’s improvements, this is a spot to fade them.

I’m backing Wolves to take at least a point and the total to land under 3.5 goals on a same-game parlay at +115 odds and an implied 46.5% probability. 

So far that bet has cashed six times in Wolves’ nine home meetings against teams in the bottom half and five of Palace’s nine such away matches.

Pick: Wolves or draw double chance and under 3.5, same-game parlay (+115 via BetMGM)