Capping off the group stage of the Women's World Cup, we have our three favorite betting props for matches spanning from Tuesday to Thursday.
The first play will come in the vital match for USA vs Portugal, where I expec the Americans to secure a spot in the round of 16 with a win. I follow this with Wednesday’s encounter between Brazil and Jamaica, which should have a corner advantage for the South American nation.
My final bet is in Germany’s fixture against South Korea, which I believe should be dominated by the Germans in a must-win spot.
There are nine spots up for grabs in the knockout rounds over these three days. So, let’s dive in and find the best betting value on the board.
World Cup Picks – USA vs Portugal, Brazil vs Jamaica & Germany vs South Korea
USA vs Portugal – USA HT/FT (-125 via FanDuel)
After the draw with the Netherlands, the US have to likely not only grab a win, but they also may need to do it by multiple goals to claim the top spot in the group. It also doesn’t help that the Dutch have Vietnam in their final match of the group stage.
This sense of urgency should force the Americans to jump out early on Portugal, which is what leads me to my favorite bet on the board of the USWNT to be winning at halftime and full-time at -125 odds from FanDuel.
If you look over all of the wins in 2023, this same play would have cashed in 7-of-9 fixtures for the USA. Meanwhile, the Portuguese are no strangers to having a deficit going into the break.
In their seven losses over the last two years, Portugal were also losing at halftime in five of those matches.
This is the same nation that has really struggled when they have faced top competition, losing seven of the last 10 games against teams who rank in the top 15 in the FIFA rankings and only winning one.
Give me the Americans to secure an early lead and a spot in the knockout rounds.
Brazil vs Jamaica – Brazil -4 Corners (+132 via FanDuel)
Can Jamaica earn at least a draw in this match to knock out Brazil in one of the shocks of the tournament? The Reggae Girlz were able to hold on for a point against France in their opener, and they’ll have the same game plan here.
With this in mind, I really expect the Brazilians to dominate possession and pepper the Jamaican goal with many shots, which could lead to a strong margin in the corners department.
So, I really like the value being offered at FanDuel for Brazil -4 corners at +132.
The South American nation has to win in order to advance to the round of 16, and their dominance in possession has made this a profitable bet in previous similar games.
When Brazil have won a match by more than a pair of goals in the last two years, this same play would have won in 4-of-6 matches, including the opener of this tournament against Panama.
Jamaica have also lost the corners battle when they’ve faced the elite competition of France, USA and Canada since 2022 by an average of 9.67 corners per match.
Germany vs South Korea – Germany HT/FT (-145 via FanDuel)
In a similar fashion to USA and Brazil, Germany also finds themselves in a spot where they need a victory to give themselves a chance to top Group H.
The Germans fell to a surprising loss to Columbia in the previous game, and they need Morocco to defeat the Columbians and a win here themselves to win the group.
Because of this, I expect the Die Nationalelf to score and lead at halftime before eventually winning the match.
This has been a profitable bet in victories for the Germans, with this same bet cashing in seven of the last 10 wins for the European nation. This stretch includes all three games in the group stage at the Euros last summer.
As for the Asian side, South Korea have dropped both games in this tournament, and they have been losing at the break as well in those defeats.
Although this is a big price to lay, I really believe the odds should be much higher in a game I see the Germans dominating.
