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Chun-hsin Tseng vs. Joao Sousa Odds
| Tseng Odds | -111 |
| Sousa Odds | -108 |
| Over/Under | 38.5 |
| Time | 5 a.m. ET |
| Odds via FanDuel. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here. | |
20-year-old Chun-Hsin Tseng takes on the veteran Joao Sousa for the second time in their careers on Tuesday at the French Open.
Sousa won 6-4, 7-5 in Miami over a then 17-year-old Tseng in the pair's prior meeting. With over three years passing since their only battle in addition to the change of surface, the history there is almost irrelevant.
In a matchup where the betting odds suggest there is little to no disparity between the two, I will dissect why I see an edge worth playing on the final day of the opening round at the French Open.
Sousa Arriving In-Form
Sousa is coming off an impressive run to the final of Geneva where he fell to Casper Ruud in a grueling match that ended in a deciding tiebreaker after over three hours.
Prior to this showing, his results in 2022 had been a mixed bag. Besides winning the title in Pune along with his final run last week, he has just one ATP main draw victory on the season.
So, does this recent explosion in form give him the edge in the first round of Roland Garros? I will break this down after visiting Tseng.
Tseng Bursting onto Tour
Tseng is making a name for himself as he is 25-9 in 2022 and an astonishing 54-26 in the past 52 weeks.
He qualified for the main draw here with ease, winning in straight sets each round. Standing at only 5′ 9" and playing a similar style to his compatriots, Tseng is always up for the grind. He plays consistent tennis with remarkable movement, extracting errors out of his opposition.
Unlike his opponent, Tseng excels on the clay courts. In 2022, he has a Challenger title and a runner-up on clay. Let's not forgot that he also won the Junior French Open in 2018.
Tseng trains at the Mouratoglou Academy in France, which is a clear reason for his preferred surface being clay. With Mouratoglou himself having spoken highly of Tseng, it is clear that he will soon be a big problem for the tour.
Betting Value
How will a veteran fresh off a phenomenal run with a heartbreaking end fare against a youngster making his main draw debut at the French Open?
I am willing to bet that he struggles, allowing Tseng to make the most of this opportunity.
Sousa will not be ready for this match physically or emotionally. Tennis players coming off a run to the final in the previous week consistently underperform in their subsequent tournament.
And Sousa did not just make it to the final, he served for the championship and faltered. Pair that with a kid who will be fired up and ready to grind out every point, and Sousa has problems.
While this isn't the highlight match of the day, there is plenty of value to be had on the Taiwanese.
Pick: Tseng ML (-111)
