Gauff vs. Trevisan Odds
| Gauff Odds | -290 |
| Trevisan Odds | +230 |
| Over/Under | 20.5 |
| Time | 10:30 a.m. ET |
| Odds via PointsBet. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here. | |
Two matches. Four sets. That's all that separates the remaining four players from a French Open title.
In this article, we'll focus on the first semi that guarantees a surprise finalist that will get to compete for glory.
Let's jump into the Coco Gauff vs. Martina Trevisan match.
Gauff On An Absolute Tear
The form from Gauff this tournament has been what many have been waiting from her at the Grand Slam level for a few years, despite the fact she's only 18-years old.
Gauff's defensive play from the start of the tournament until now has been at the best level she's ever shown.
The adjustments made on the forehand wing have been crucial to that success. With the clay being a slower surface, it's harder to rush her forehand, which helps her reduce the overall error load. It also allows her to play longer points and utilize that defense in a few ways.
First, she is able to induce errors from opponents, as opposed to hitting them herself. Second, it allows her to wait out a short ball she can flatten out on her much more attack-oriented backhand wing. Finally, it serves to really drain her opponents of energy, which has resulted in several lopsided second sets in her favor.
Add in a strong serve and Gauff is also able to find some quick points and hold serve in a more comfortable way than most of her opponents. That puts the pressure right back on their shoulders. With her elite return game, that has worked wonders.
Consider over the last 52 weeks that Gauff has had a better hold plus break percentage than Trevisan at tour level, despite playing a much higher quality of opponent, and this appears to be a favorable situation.
Trevisan Continues Rolling Through Draw
That final comment is not to take anything away from Trevisan. The Italian has progressed a step further than she did at her shock run to the quarters in 2020 as a qualifier, notching her best win of the last 10 days over Canadian Leylah Fernandez.
Her ability to move the ball around the court and finish points into the open spaces created has left many players befuddled.
Trevisan's return game has always been a staple of her playing style, and it's been no different this year at Roland Garros. She's averaged 6.5 breaks in her last two matches – the two best players she's played.
The problem for her in this matchup is that Gauff will be able to dictate far more in addition to sticking with her in the prolonged rallies. With both grading well in the fitness and endurance category, it's really hard to see where Trevisan has an edge.
Betting Value
While Trevisan did surprise against Fernandez with a rather emphatic three-set win, I can't see her doing it again.
Considering the rally tolerance and defense Gauff has displayed this week, it seems a big ask to have Trevisan come close to replicating that win.
Gauff also has the edge in terms of being able to dictate and actually win points, as opposed to just waiting for errors from her opponent.
The much-improved patience and tactical approach on the forehand wing, along with the time the clay (and in this case her opponent) buys her to set up her shots on that wing makes her an even tougher player to bet against in this spot.
It's tough to find a spread that is showing as much value as the total, so the under 20.5 games is looking good for this match.
Pick: Under 20.5 games (-105 via PointsBet)
