Sinner vs. Wawrinka Odds
| Sinner Odds | -315 |
| Wawrinka Odds | +250 |
| Over/Under | 39.5 |
| Time | How to Watch | 10:20 am ET | ESPN/ESPN+ |
| Odds via FanDuel. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here. | |
The young and established Jannik Sinner takes on the aging veteran Stan Wawrinka in the first round of Wimbledon.
In a match that is set to be a popular watch in round one, Wawrinka looks to extend his record to 3-0 against Sinner while the Italian looks to grab his first tour-level main draw win on grass.
Who will prevail between two excellent players battling on their least-preferred surface?
Let's dive in.
Sinner Struggling to Stay Healthy
When Sinner is not hampered by injuries, he can beat anyone on tour.
Following his retirement at the French Open against Andrey Rublev, Sinner took some time off to recover from the variety of injuries he has faced.
Sinner returned to play one warmup tournament for Wimbledon last week in Eastbourne. He fell to Tommy Paul in three sets in his opening match.
Despite his remarkable career and having already broken the top 10 previously, Sinner has yet to win an ATP main draw match on grass.
Although he only has had four attempts, finding himself winless is evidence enough to say that he does not prefer the surface.
Excluding his return from a short hiatus last week, Sinner was 8-0 in his first match of a tournament in 2022. This goes to support that when Sinner is fresh, he is usually dominant.
Wawrinka Showing He Is Still Dangerous
Although grass courts are not the ideal surface for Wawrinka, he made a statement in his opening match in Queens.
Wawrinka beat Francis Tiafoe in a marathon 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 match. He displayed his ability to dominate serve in addition to his mental fortitude – breaking Tiafoe whilst he was serving for the match.
Wawrinka dropped serve only once through 18 service games against Tiafoe. Following the remarkable win, Paul put on a clinic defeating Wawrinka in straight sets.
At 37 years old, the three-time Grand Slam champion is not done yet. However, fitness will always be in question at this age in a best-of-five format. This is particularly true with only eight matches under his belt this year.
Betting Value
Facing off for first time since Sinner has broke the top 100, this match will be under completely circumstances.
With Sinner playing only one match since his retirement at the French Open, and Wawrinka being as fresh as he can be in the first round of a tournament, I expect this match to possess momentum swings in each player's favor.
Sinner has won in straight sets at a Grand Slam against a top-100 ranked opponent only four times in 19 attempts. Although Wawrinka is not currently ranked inside the top-100, I will gladly claim that he easily possesses the skill and danger of a top-100 opponent.
While Sinner is slated to get his first main draw win on grass, I don't expect Wawrinka to let it happen easily.
Trust the Swiss to serve well and cause some doubts as the young Italian returns to action.
Pick: Over 39.5 games (-120)
