Jenson Brooksby vs. Cristian Garin Wimbledon Preview, Pick, Prediction (July 2)

Jenson Brooksby vs. Cristian Garin Wimbledon Preview, Pick, Prediction (July 2) article feature image
Credit:

Ryan Pierse/Getty. Pictured: Jenson Brooksby.

  • Jenson Brooksby is favored to advance to the fourth round at Wimbledon.
  • He squares off with Cristian Garin on Saturday morning.
  • Read on to see how Luke Holmberg is analyzing the match.

Brooksby vs. Garin Odds

Brooksby Odds-260
Garin Odds+210
Over/Under38.5
Time | TV6:00 am ET | ESPN/ESPN+
Odds via FanDuel. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

Jenson Brooksby handily defeated Benjamin Bonzi in straight sets during round two. Bonzi has had a terrific grass season and Brooksby outplayed him at all levels.

He’s looking like a real threat at Wimbledon as he returns to form.

Garin may consider himself lucky to be here, once being slated to play Matteo Berrettini in the opening round. Following his withdrawal, Garin has made the most of his opportunity.

Who has the edge in the third round tomorrow?

Let’s check it out.

Brooksby Looking Dangerous

The young American was all the talk about the ATP tour in the second half of last season. Winning ATP newcomer of the year, Brooksby had solidified himself as a threat to all opponents.

With a solid start to 2022 on the hard courts, Brooksby’s name faded away as the clay season came around – a surface he has yet to figure out.

However, Brooksby seems to have found his rhythm here at Wimbledon following a poor start to the grass court season.

He has used terrific counter-punching skills to deflect his opponents' pace and turn their powerful shots into aggressive replies of his own. Especially this week, Brooksby has displayed some high quality tennis.

With his unique slice, backhand drop shot, and court coverage, he has a variety of traits that are destined to thrive on grass.

His net game is an area that definitely needs improvement, and his second serve can be taken advantage of, but he has the talent to make up for these weaknesses.

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Garin Underrated On Grass

Although Garin is extremely fortunate to be here in the third round, he has made quick work of his first two opponents, not dropping a set to either of them.

Garin is well known for his clay court prowess. Making a name for himself during the Golden Swing a few years ago, he earned himself a ranking inside the top 20.

Following a horrendous start to the year plagued with injuries, racket changes and mental battles, Garin ironically seems to be finding his form on the grass courts here at Wimbledon.

With an aggressive baseline game and phenomenal drop shots, it shouldn’t be too much of a surprise that Garin has tallied a respectable 13-8 record on grass in his career.

Betting Value

For two players who seem to be catching their stride, we should see some high quality ball striking.

On these courts, Brooksby’s ceiling is significantly higher than Garin’s.

Brooksby’s defense will be too solid for the Chilean. Garin has the potential to trouble Brooksby with his drop shots and force him to volley much more than he’d like, but Brooksby should simply be too solid.

Even though we may see some great rallies, Brooksby will consistently come out on top of them and find himself a comfortable victory.

Pick: Brooksby -4.5 games (-110)

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