Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas Odds
| Djokovic Odds | -525 |
| Tsitsipas Odds | +400 |
| Over/Under | 37.5 (-115 / -105) |
| Time | How to Watch | Sunday. 3:30 a.m. ET | ESPN |
| Odds via DraftKings. For tips on how to watch the Australian Open, click here. | |
Novak Djokovic will attempt to win his 10th Australian Open title and 22nd Grand Slam when he takes on Stefanos Tsitsipas on Sunday morning.
The World No. 5 is in phenomenal form as he enters the match, dropping just one set thus far in the tournament. Tsitsipas has been able to hold his own as well, evidenced by the fact that he's in the match, but also by his consistent level.
It's been rare throughout the tournament for either player to be struggling, and they are undoubtedly the two best players in Melbourne.
For betting odds, match previews and picks, read on to see how our men's tennis experts are forecasting the Australian Open final.
Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas Picks
Kenny Ducey: Here’s what I’ll say – I’m quite confident Djokovic will win the Australian Open. That does us no good with the Serb sitting at -450, so how do we make some money?
I often like to avoid game spreads on underdogs when a match involves Djokovic or Rafael Nadal given the number of occasions they have mercilessly punished their disheartened opponent in a potential final set. I don’t see any value in the total, which is quite high, considering it might not even cash in a four-set affair.
Enter this prop. I feel like Tsitsipas is playing well enough to take a set; this is arguably the best level of his career, coming off of a United Cup run where he looked unstoppable.
While these two don’t *always* play great matches, their last two have cashed to the over. Throughout the course of their 12 matches against each other, Tsitsipas has managed to nick at least a set on six occasions.
There have been windows in each match where Tsitsipas has brought a higher level than Djokovic, and given that he’s served even better than Djokovic as of late, I think the probability of both players winning a set is high.
At the same time, Djokovic will be claiming this title, making this wager a juicy one.
Ducey's Pick: Djokovic Wins & Both Players Win a Set (+118 via FanDuel)
Carmine Carcieri: Credit must be given to Tsitsipas — who has played awesome tennis down under and has reinvented his game under coach Mark Philippoussis — but there’s no shot I’m betting against Djokovic.
He is on a mission in Melbourne, and he’s not slowing down in the final. Djokovic has beaten Tsitsipas 10 times in his career, including their last nine matchups. The Serb has dropped just one set against the Greek in their last four matchups and hasn’t lost a match to him since 2019.
Yes, their last two meetings in Grand Slams went the distance, but both were on clay.
Djokovic is going to attack Tsitsipas’ backhand on these fast courts and try to force the Greek back into his old habits of standing deep behind the baseline.
Regardless, Djokovic is firing on all cylinders and is the best returner on the Tour, which will force Tsitsipas into having a pressure-packed situation in nearly every service game.
We saw him flounder in some of those moments against Karen Khachanov in the semis, and now the level of his opponent will ratchet up to as tough as it gets.
Give me Djokovic to cruise.
Carcieri's Pick: Djokovic -5.5 games (-120 via PointsBet)
Luke Holmberg: A rematch of the 2021 Roland Garros final is here. Djokovic came back from two sets to love to keep Tsitsipas from his first Grand Slam title, but is revenge on the horizon?
Outclassing Djokovic from the baseline right now will take a flawless performance, but I believe Tsitsipas is just about capable of pushing that level.
The Greek looks like a new player this year. Although he had some mental troubles serving out sets against Khachanov, getting through an opponent in the form the Russian was is in was no easy task. I think Tsitsipas is primed for a career-best year and a win here would propel him into the World No. 1 spot.
It is hard to bet against Djokovic, especially in Melbourne, and it's even tougher considering the head-to-head.
However, I think Tsitsipas is dangerously undervalued, and the odds are too good to pass up. Do not count out the Greek. He is in high spirits, has a new year on the horizon and is generating easy power that is nearly unplayable when at its peak.
I'll take Tsitsipas on the spread.
Holmberg's Pick: Tsitsipas +5.5 games (+115 via DraftKings)
