Novak Djokovic vs. Tim van Rijthoven Wimbledon Odds, Preview, Prediction (July 3)

Novak Djokovic vs. Tim van Rijthoven Wimbledon Odds, Preview, Prediction (July 3) article feature image
Credit:

Rob Newell/Getty. Pictured: Novak Djokovic.

  • Novak Djokovic is a heavy favorite to beat Tim van Rijthoven at Wimbledon.
  • See how Kenny Ducey is evaluating the three-time defending champion's match.
  • He provides his best bet and prediction.

Looking for betting analysis of Djokovic's quarterfinal match? Click here!

Djokovic vs. Van Rijthoven Odds

Djokovic Odds-2000
Van Rijthoven Odds+950
Total30.5 (-115 / -105)
Time | How to Watch11:45 a.m. ET | ESPN/ESPN+
Odds via DraftKings. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

The draw continues to open up for Novak Djokovic, who has seen his competition disappear right in front of him.

His next opponent is the young Tim van Rijthoven, who is having the summer of his life this grass season.

Is there any reason to expect van Rijthoven to compete here? Let's dig into the matchup.

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Djokovic Doing What He Does Best

Let's start with the six-time champion, who has lifted the Wimbledon trophy each of the last three times he's visited the All England Club.

Djokovic has hardly put a foot wrong at The Championships through one week. He dropped a set in the first match he played here — something he also did last year — but has otherwise been rock sold, never losing more than four games in a set.

The Serbian's most recent match saw him come through Miomir Kecmanovic in straight sets, an opponent he has a lot of experience against.

Djokovic served at just 50% first serves in, but he won 88% behind his first serve.

The fact the match was so lopsided is a very troubling sign for anyone in the draw, as is the fact that Kecmanovic won just 40% of points behind his first serve. It was utter domination.

Van Rijthoven In Midst Of Crazy Run

Van Rijthoven has come out of absolutely nowhere to make the fourth round here at Wimbledon.

Though he had some nice results at the Challenger level this season, the young Dutchman was hardly playing at a level that could take out top-100 players, let alone some of the best in the world.

His first match of grass season didn't just come at the Challenger level, it came in qualifying for a Challenger event. He even failed to lose that match, but was placed in the Hertogenbosch draw as a local wild-card. What's followed has been a storybook summer.

Van Rijthoven beat top-15 names such as Taylor Fritz and Felix Auger-Aliassime to reach the final, then took out World No. 1 Daniil Medvedev in two quick sets.

He's quickly moved through three rounds here at Wimbledon with just one set dropped, and in his second-round win over Reilly Opelka the American could be heard saying to his coach that Van Rijthoven would qualify for the year-end ATP Finals had ranking points been awarded at the All England Club.

Betting Value

This has the potential to be a somewhat fun match. No, van Rijthoven can't be considered a real threat to win this game — and the implied probability here is probably spot on.

What I do think, though, is that Van Rijthoven can keep this match close enough to cash the over.

The Dutchman has a good enough serve and a decent enough backhand where Djokovic may need to make one or two adjustments out there to get over the finish line.

We've seen Djokovic overlook opponents in years past, and there's a chance that happens in this one. Van Rijthoven is playing with enough confidence and mental fortitude where he could impact the legend.

Pick: Van Rijthoven +7.5 Games (-115)

About the Author
Kenny is a former member of the Baseball Writers Association of America and editor for Baseball Prospectus, and covered baseball, basketball and football for Sports Illustrated. He also specializes in tennis betting and DFS, and is a long-suffering Jets fan.

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