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The third round of the French Open rolls on this weekend, and with Saturday's matches come some big opportunities to bet on a couple of under-the-radar underdogs.
Let's get into how to bet on Coric vs Etcheverry and Nishioka vs Seyboth Wild on Saturday at Roland Garros.
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Yoshihito Nishioka (+140) vs Thiago Seyboth Wild (-175)
5 a.m. ET
Yoshihito Nishioka enters his third round match at Roland Garros with a 4-4 record on the clay this season, but it's hard to really blame him. He took Jannik Sinner three sets in Barcelona, ran into Andrey Rublev in Madrid and had to battle a tough opponent and a hostile crowd in a tight loss to Lorenzo Sonego in Rome. Aside from a three-set loss at a Challenger to Daniel Galan, you might even say Nishioka has had a good run on the dirt when you lump in his two wins here in Paris.
Nishioka has historically been a tough out on clay despite what his record would indicate, and while he's rarely going to beat the top guys he is plenty capable of taking out Seyboth Wild. The Brazilian looked exceptional against Daniil Medvedev, but was handed an easy opponent in the second round and didn't seem nearly as dominant.
I think the Japanese is plenty capable of extracting errors out of the Seyboth Wild racquet with his excellent defense, and he should wear down a likely fatigued opponent who isn't used to playing this much tennis.
Pick: Nishioka ML (+140 via DraftKings)
Borna Coric (+120) vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (-145)
6:30 a.m. ET
This line made me chuckle. Are we really ready to say a player who's only really had success at the ATP Challenger level to this point is a favorite over a guy who just won a Masters 1000 less than a year ago? I certainly don't see it.
Etcheverry has always been able to produce a good level during the Golden Swing early in the season and had a nice run in Houston this year. Neither one of those events are comparable to European clay, though; the competition is tougher when we get to this point in the tennis calendar, and the dirt in Houston is much different than the surfaces here in Paris.
He has only beaten clay-averse players this spring on the tour level, and to this point at Roland Garros he hasn't really faced an opponent that can test him like Coric can.
The World No. 16 has been a so-so player on clay throughout his career but has looked deadly in the last month, making an appearance in the semifinals of Madrid and the quarters in Rome. He won a tough match against Pedro Cachin last round and defeated another Golden Swing favorite in Federico Coria the match prior to that.
Coric is battle-tested at this point in the tournament and he hits a much bigger ball than anyone Etcheverry has faced this week. I just think there is a significant skill gap between these two and can't pass up the opportunity to take the better player at plus money.
Pick: Coric ML (+120 via DraftKings)
