Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm Betting Odds, Prediction: This WNBA Game Has Spread Pick With 9% Historic ROI (Sunday, July 24)

Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm Betting Odds, Prediction: This WNBA Game Has Spread Pick With 9% Historic ROI (Sunday, July 24) article feature image
Credit:

Kate Frese/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Seattle Storm standout Sue Bird.

Atlanta vs. Seattle Odds

Dream Odds+7.5
Storm Odds-7.5
Over/Under157.5 (-108 / -112)
DateSunday, July 24
Time6 p.m. ET

*Odds via FanDuel as of Sunday afternoon

This WNBA game on Sunday night jibes with a historically profitable betting system proprietary to the Action Network.

If you had bet $100 on the 274 WNBA games that have fit this system since 2005, you'd be up over $2,500.

That's roughly $150 per year, good for a 9% return on investment (ROI).

The system's ROI is roughly on par with the average annual return of the S&P 500, which has netted about 8% for more than a century. That index is down over 17% year-to-date. Meanwhile, Bitcoin, for instance, is down over 52% during that same timeframe.

Still, don't use this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing. The aforementioned figures are purely for reference.

This algorithm factors in public betting data across every major American sportsbook, data that is also proprietary to the Action Network.

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This algorithm targets bad road teams that's unpopular among retail bettors.

Since 2005, these types of teams are 151-116-8 against the spread. "Bad" indicates a winning percentage below 50%. And "unpopular among retail bettors" means the individual bets are heading toward the home team.

So, you're fading retail bettors and their prevailing notions.

The team to fade on Sunday night is the Seattle Storm.

The best price on the market for the Dream is with FanDuel at +7.5 (-110).

As aforementioned, these teams like the Dream — under these specific parameters — have covered 56.6% of the time with a return on investment of 9% over an extended sample size.

But while today might be the day to cash in, please keep in mind that the annual profit is accrued over a season-long sample size. 

The best way to maximize that full 9% ROI is to bet on every game that fits this system for the remainder of the season. About five more games will fit this framework in 2022.

PRO Pick: Atlanta +7.5 or better

About the Author
Avery Yang is a General Editor at The Action Network and a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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