Dallas Wings WNBA Title Odds: 2023 Preseason Betting Analysis & Preview

Dallas Wings WNBA Title Odds

The Dallas Wings made the playoffs last season, but an injury to their star player lowered their overall ceiling. The Wings enter the 2023 WNBA season with the fifth-shortest title odds at +3500, according to FanDuel.

Here’s a look at their notable moves over the offseason and analysis on how to approach betting the Wings before the WNBA season tips off.

Notable Offseason Transactions

Additions: Natasha Howard, Diamond DeShields, Maddy Siegrist (No. 3 pick in 2023 WNBA Draft), Lou Lopez Senechal (No. 5 pick), Abby Meyers (No. 11 pick), Ashley Joens (No. 19 pick), Paige Robinson (No. 31 pick).

Departures: Allisha Gray, Kayla Thornton, Marina Mabrey.

Betting Analysis

The Dream are the team I am highest on. The Wings are the team I am lowest on (along with the Lynx).

That is not to say I think they will finish last, but rather, in comparison to how the market sees this team, I am far lower on Dallas. The franchise has improved its record each of the past three seasons, but I think that trend stops and starts to head the other direction.

This is not an indictment of star player Arike Ogunbowale. It has more to do with the Wings' roster churn that occurred over the offseason. Allisha Gray and Kayla Thornton were their top two players by win shares last season, and in losing Marina Mabrey, they lost the player who guided the ship when Ogunbowale was out.

Coming in are Natasha Howard, Diamond DeShields and a collection of rookies.

DeShields is a player I was incredibly high on early in her career, but she has seemingly gone the wrong direction when it comes to her actual impact on winning on the court. Howard was an elite role player in Seattle, but she was far more pedestrian in a bigger role in New York. In Dallas, she will likely need to be a key contributor again, which doesn't give me much hope.

Of the rookies the Wings drafted, they targeted: shooting, shooting and more shooting. While shooting is indeed an essential element of the game, it's not the most balanced roster decision.

This feels like a massive pivot season. The Wings have a new head coach, Latricia Trammell, and I wonder how many of the old guard will last the year. Satou Sabally has a high ceiling, but so far she has been constantly hurt and not very productive when she's been able to play.

This feels like a season that will be in flux with not many wins.

I have the Wings at 16-24. Compared to their season win total, which is as high as 21.5 at some books, this is a team I will be fading early and often.