Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, highlights his top five WNBA props to target on PrizePicks this Friday. He has a 39-16 record on picks he's written about so far this season.
Picks are listed below in order of his confidence, with a 10-rating being the highest. Note that Sean likes to play the following picks as a five-pack, then two- to three-packs based on the props he likes the most, hence why he provides confidence ratings.
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Friday WNBA Picks
Allisha Gray (Wings) — Over 11.5 pts
The Mercury are in a tough spot, playing their fourth road game in six days. I expect Dallas to take advantage of their exhausted opponent tonight. Gray is the type of player Phoenix typically struggles to defend. I'm projecting her closer to 15.5 points, and this is my favorite prop of the slate.
Confidence Rating: 10 out of 10
Jonquel Jones (Sun) — Over 7.5 Rebounds
The Storm rank second in 3-pointers against per game, allow the second-highest offensive rebound rate and have the second-lowest turnover rate. All three factors should lead to more rebound chances for Jones tonight, and I'm projecting her closer to nine.
Confidence Rating: 8 out of 10
Kayla Thornton (Wings) — Over 7 Rebounds
Thornton has sailed over this number in three of the last four games. She should continue to see an increase in usage with Satou Sabally ruled out for a second straight game. I'm expecting the Mercury to struggle tonight in their fourth road game in six days. It should lead to a few more rebound chances for Thornton, who I'm projecting for closer to 8.5.
Confidence Rating: 7 out of 10
Cheyenne Parker (Dream) — Over 10.5 Points
Sky star Candace Parker is out for tonight's game, which should make Cheyenne's matchup a bit easier. Chicago's guards are excellent defenders, forcing opponents to score closer to the basket. As a result, it's a matchup where Parker should see a slight increase in field goal attempts. I'm projecting her closer to 13 points.
Confidence Rating: 7 out of 10
Ezi Magbegor (Storm) — Under 6.5 Rebounds
Magbegor has only cleared this number in four of 11 games this season. Tonight's matchup against the Sun should make it even more challenging for her to clear this number. Connecticut leads the league in offensive rebound rate and is very good at drawing fouls, so there is a good chance Magbegor gets into foul trouble early if she's not careful. I'm projecting her closer to 5.5 rebounds.
Confidence Rating: 7 out of 10
