Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, highlights his top-five WNBA props to target on PrizePicks this Tuesday. He has a 58-26 record on picks he’s written about so far this season.
Picks are listed below in order of his confidence, with a 10-rating being the highest.
Note that Sean likes to play the following picks as a five-pack, then two- to three-packs based on the props he likes the most, hence why he provides confidence ratings.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
Friday WNBA Picks
Jessica Shepard Under 10.5 Points (9)
Jessica Shepard has only cleared this number in six of 20 games this season, and her playing time has taken a hit now that Sylvia Fowles, Damiris Dantas, and Natalie Achonwa are all healthy. I'm projecting her closer to eight points tonight against a Vegas defense that limits easy baskets near the rim.
Moriah Jefferson Under 6.5 Assists (8)
Moriah Jefferson erupted for a 13/10/10 triple-double in the Lynx's most recent game. However, she has only cleared this number in four of 14 games this season, with a median of 5.5 assists. She's finished with six assists exactly 21% of the time, showing just how valuable it is to get an extra assist here.
Kelsey Mitchell Under 4.5 Assists (8)
Kelsey Mitchell has been held under this number 67% of the time this season. The Storm have the top-ranked defense and play at a below-average pace. It will be even more challenging for Mitchell to clear this number based on tonight's matchup, and I'm projecting her closer to 3.5 assists.
Breanna Stewart Over 4 Free Throws Made (8)
The best way to score on the Fever is around the rim. It's one of the reasons they allow the second-most free throw attempts per game. I expect Breanna Stewart to be aggressive on offense, and I'm projecting her to attempt six free throws tonight. Expect closer to five free throws made based on tonight's matchup.
Dearica Hamby Over 6.5 Rebounds (7)
Dearica Hamby has failed to clear this number in the last two games. However, she's grabbed 7+ boards in 15 of 19 games this season. I expect her to bounce back tonight, and I'm projecting her closer to 7.5 rebounds.
