The WNBA has a loaded five-game slate today, which features a fun offensive matchup between the Indiana Fever (16-16) and Dallas Wings (9-22), set to tip off at 4:00 p.m. ET on NBA TV. Indiana cruised through August with a 5-1 record, while Dallas owns an active three-game winning streak.
It’s a battle between red-hot teams! Keep reading for my preview of this matchup, along with my Fever vs. Wings predictions for this Sunday.
Fever vs. Wings Prediction
Fever vs. Wings Pick: Fever -3.5 (-106)
I am backing Indiana to cover the spread at -3.5 (-106), with best odds currently listed at FanDuel. Their defense sits in a better position to limit Dallas' offense than vice versa. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live WNBA odds page.
Fever vs. Wings Odds
| Fever Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -114 | 183 -110o / -110u | -158 |
| Wings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -106 | 183 -110o / -110u | +128 |
The Fever are favored across the board at online sportsbooks, but it's expected to be a close game. Indiana's moneyline has an implied probability of 62.12%. It's worth noting that the total sits at a monstrous 182.5 points on FanDuel. Because this matchup features productive offenses and suspect defenses, points will be plentiful.
Fever vs. Wings Preview
Indiana Fever Preview: Caitlin Clark's Dominance Continues
The Indiana Fever are coming off an impressive 19-point blowout win against their media rivals Chicago Sky. Rookie of the Year frontrunner Caitlin Clark controlled the offense like a seasoned maestro. She scored 31 points on 8-of-14 shooting and dished out 12 assists. It was her fifth game with at least 20 points and 10 assists, which broke the WNBA single-season record.
Indiana is growing increasingly dangerous as Clark continues to adjust to WNBA speed, physicality, and schemes. Over their past 15 games, they lead the league in offensive rating and effective field goal percentage.
Will the defense come around though? That’s the question that Indiana must answer if they want to take the next step. The Fever’s defense has looked more cohesive and solid recently, but opponents are still scorching them from 3pt range.
Dallas Wings: Worst Defense in WNBA
Dallas also enters this contest on a high note, as they shockingly demolished the elite Minnesota Lynx by 18 points.
Since Satou Sabally returned six games ago, she has averaged 19.8 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 5 assists per game with a true shooting percentage 5.6% above league average. During that span, Dallas has scored 109.4 points per 100 possessions – the third-best mark.
Sabally finally provides balance to an offense that was previously too reliant on Arike Ogunbowale.
Now, the defense remains atrocious. Most meaningful metrics paint it as the worst in the WNBA, and the eye test matches that scathing accusation. Unfortunately for them, they face a tough Fever offense that will show no mercy, à la John Kreese.
Fever vs. Wings Pick: Bet Indiana to Cover the Spread
Betting Pick & Prediction
Although perimeter shooters routinely bully the Fever, their interior defense is competent with Aliyah Boston on the back-end. As a unit, Indiana allows the fourth-lowest rim attempt frequency and fifth-lowest rim field goal percentage.
I expect Dallas’ transition offense to effectively attack the basket, but they may struggle in the half-court. The Wings rank ninth in 3PT% and lack numerous quality, high-volume long-range shooters. If they cannot impose their will around the basket, then it will be difficult to keep pace with Indiana.
Speaking of the Fever’s offense, they should shred a porous Dallas defense that allows the largest rim field goal percentage and third-largest points per transition possession. Clark has the playmaking chops to orchestrate an offensive explosion here by finding rollers and cutters. Dallas cannot contain her handle either, so look for Clark to get to her scoring spots all game.
Finally, the Fever are 19-13 against the spread (ATS) this season, including 8-4 as favorites. The oddsmakers continue to slightly undervalue Clark’s impact. Dallas, on the other hand, is 11-20 ATS.
Pick: Fever -3.5 (-106)
