For just the second time this season, the Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx will face off. The Lynx will be playing the second leg of a home back-to-back, while Indiana will be taking the floor for the first time since Sunday.
Will rest prove to be a major advantage for the Fever, or will Minnesota exact revenge after a seven-point home loss to Caitlin Clark & Co. in the middle of July?
Below, I dig into my Fever vs. Lynx predictions — check it out!
Fever vs Lynx Prediction
Fever vs Lynx Pick: Lynx -4.5 | Play to -7.5
Even though Indiana has played well recently, the Fever will struggle against a team that has elite shooters all over the floor. The Lynx are the best 3-point shooting team in the WNBA, knocking down an absurd 39% of their attempts. And, unfortunately, the Fever can’t defend the 3-point line.
Fever vs Lynx Odds
| Fever Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -106 | 168 -110o / -110u | +164 |
| Lynx Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -114 | 168 -110o / -110u | -205 |
Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever are 4.5-point underdogs (+4.5) to the Minnesota Lynx on Saturday night. The Fever vs Lynx point spread opened at Lynx -6.5 and has since been bet in the direction of the Fever. The total is currently set at over/under 168 points scored by both teams combined. The Lynx are -205 favorites on the moneyline to win, and Clark and the Fever are +164 to pull off the upset victory.
Indiana Fever Betting Preview: Can Caitlin Clark and Fever Stay Hot?
Don’t look now, but here come the Fever.
They have logged four wins in their past five games and during that stretch, the Fever have outrebounded opponents by roughly seven rebounds per game. They're also shooting a blistering 48% from the field.
After a relatively modest start to the 2024 season, Clark has also finally hit her stride. She's posting close to 24 points, 12 assists and five rebounds per game over her past six outings.
Defense, particularly defending the perimeter, remains an issue. Indiana has allowed opponents to hit 37.2% of their 3-point attempts in their past five games, but that hasn't mattered.
Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview: Will Rebounding Improve?
The league’s top-ranked defense (defensive rating) will be tasked with slowing down the Clark-led Fever.
However, Minnesota’s defense does have one major hole that it eventually needs to address: defensive rebounding. While rebounding isn't always thought of when evaluating defense, closing out a defensive possession with a board is just as important as any other aspect on that end of the floor.
The Lynx rank 10th (out of 12 teams) in defensive rebounding percentage and could have a truly elite defense if they're able to improve in that metric. Regardless, they'll still be a contender once the postseason rolls around.
Fever vs Lynx Prediction: Bet Minnesota to Cover
Fever vs Lynx Best Bet
If you are wondering why the Lynx have been as big as 6.5-point favorites despite having lost to the Fever in July, the rationale is actually quite simple: Napheesa Collier.
Collier didn't play in the first game against Indiana and her absence was a major hindrance to Minnesota’s offense.
In fact, Minnesota shot just 38.6% from the field in that matchup, but that had little to do with the Fever’s defense, which ranks 11th in defensive rating and ninth in opponent effective field goal percentage.
Fever vs Lynx Pick: Lynx -4.5 | Bet to -7.5
Fever vs Lynx Caitlin Clark Player Props
- Caitlin Clark scoring prop: Over/under 18.5 points
- Caitlin Clark assist prop: Over/under 9.5 assists
- Caitlin Clark made 3s: Over/under 2.5 3s
- Caitlin Clark to record a double-double: -125
- Caitlin Clark to record a triple-double: +1300
Fever vs Lynx Betting Trends
- 44% of the bets and 89% of the money are on the Fever to cover the spread.
- 85% of the bets and 55% of the money are on the under.
FEVER BETTING TRENDS:
- Fever are 4-1 in their last 5 games
- Fever are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Fever are 7-8 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Fever' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Fever' 13 last games at home
LYNX BETTING TRENDS:
- Lynx are 5-0 in their last 5 games
- Lynx are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Lynx are 10-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Lynx' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Lynx' 16 last games at home
