Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, highlights his top five WNBA props to target on PrizePicks this Tuesday. He has a 27-7 record on picks he's written about so far this season.
Picks are listed below in order of his confidence, with a 10-rating being the highest. Note that Sean likes to play the following picks as a five-pack, then two- to three-packs based on the props he likes the most, hence why he provides confidence ratings.
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Tuesday WNBA Picks
Liz Cambage Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
The 6-foot-8 Cambage will be matched up up against the 6-foot-3 Isabelle Harrison for most of the game. Her PRA prop is the safest play, but you could also attack her over 12.5 points and over 5.5 rebounds in separate builds.
I'm projecting her closer to 25 PRA.
Confidence Rating: 9 out of 10
Kennedy Burke Over 7.5 Points
Burke has been trending up as she has cleared this number in four of the past five games. Alysha Clark is still out due to COVID-19 protocols, which means Burke could be in the starting lineup again and see 25+ minutes.
The Mystics team total is seven points higher than their season average (due to the plus-matchup against the Fever), so every Washington player gets a slight boost in their point projections. I'm projecting Burke closer to 10.5 points.
Confidence Rating: 8 out of 10
Diamond DeShields Under 15.5 Points
DeShields has cleared this number in four straight games, but a lot of that had to do with Skylar Diggins-Smith, Shey Peddy and/or Sophie Cunningham being out of the lineup. With all three expected to be active for the first time in five games on Tuesday night, expect DeShields' minutes and usage to take a hit.
I'm projecting her closer to 12.5 points.
Confidence Rating: 8 out of 10
Candace Parker Over 22 PRA
Parker is coming off a game in which she shot only 4-of-15 (27%) from the field and still hit the over. I'm projecting her closer to 27.
Confidence Rating: 8 out of 10
Satou Sabally Over 14.5 PRA
Sabally has been eased into action over her first three contests, averaging 20.6 minutes a game. However, her playing time should only increase, and I can see her getting extended run against the Sparks.
I'm projecting her closer to 18.5 PRA.
Confidence Rating: 8 out of 10
NaLyssa Smith Over 5.5 Reb
Smith played 25 minutes in her return after missing four games due to an ankle injury. I expect her to play closer to 28-30 minutes on Tuesday and project her closer to 7 rebounds.
Confidence Rating: 7 out of 10
